The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belleville Senators 40.8%
Draw 21.8%
Toronto Marlies 37.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.2%
21.8%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
23.4%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - AHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Recently, Belleville has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Toronto has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Belleville has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:62 (averaging 3.1:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Belleville against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 38:31 goals (averaging 3.5:2.8 per game).
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