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Current Win Probability
Laval Rocket 43.8%
Draw 22.5%
Toronto Marlies 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
22.6%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
24.6%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval Rocket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval Rocket than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Laval Rocket - Toronto Marlies Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Shepard H. (G)
35. Hildeby D. (G)
18. Arseneau V.
58. Chadwick N.
62. Beck O.
53. Cowan E.
22. Belzile A. (A)
29. Groulx B.
4. Bisson T. P. (A)
43. Haymes L.
19. Blais S.
65. Johnson R. (A)
42. Condotta L. (C)
57. Johnstone M.
27. Dauphin L.
71. Lettieri V.
44. Didier J.
36. Mermis D. (A)
7. Dubinsky A.
92. Nylander A.
56. Engstrom A.
56. Pare C.
15. Farrell S.
61. Pezzetta M.
3. Mittelstadt L.
26. Quillan J.
14. Rohrer V.
83. Rifai M.
10. Roy J.
11. Shaw L. (C)
6. Thorpe T.
59. Smith B.
84. Trudeau W.
3. Thrun H.
17. Tuch L.
77. Tverberg R.
63. Xhekaj F.
76. Villeneuve W.
Substitutes
34. Kahkonen K. (G)
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
09:49, 1 - 0, Beck O. (G), Blais S. (A), Condotta L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:50, 1 - 1, Smith B. (G), Chadwick N. (A), Quillan J. (A2)
16:21, 2 - 1, Beck O. (G), Dauphin L. (A), Blais S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:57, 2 - 2, Johnson R. (G), Johnstone M. (A), Pezzetta M. (A2)
10:22, 2 - 3, Lettieri V. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Mermis D. (A2)
Preview
Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Laval won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 65:61. (average 3.3:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 3.4:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Laval Rocket - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.