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Current Win Probability
Bellinzona Snakes 43.7%
Draw 22.1%
Arosa 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
20.6%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
21.8%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona Snakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bellinzona Snakes's performance.
Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona Snakes than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bellinzona Snakes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bellinzona Snakes - Arosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Beglieri A. (G)
13. Simeoni D. (G)
57. Martin T.
62. Warmbrodt N. Y.
4. Togni E.
64. Muller S.
40. Hedlund W.
97. Krakauskas E. (C)
79. Conceprio A. (C)
22. Vlcek T.
71. Pedrazzini G.
81. Volejnicek D.
Line 2
3. Favre N.
35. Moret D.
69. Cjunskis H.
77. Boss D.
67. De Luca J.
4. Jabola J.
74. Bernazzi E.
40. Weber G.
52. Bottini S.
95. Orlov M.
Line 3
7. Moreno T.
44. Zanolari A.
17. Comploj F.
9. Morson G.
77. Marchetti I.
23. Aebi S.
34. Schenk L.
17. Aebli N.
22. Schwenninger D.
36. Christen L.
Line 4
8. Meier D.
88. Rotheli M.
86. Palmisano M.
58. Mlynar S.
18. Togni D.
12. Zehnder L.
16. Bonvin B.
92. Pont C. J.
66. Reynaud T.
29. Mariethoz M.
Substitutes
31. Jaafri-Hayani N. (G)
74. Wieczorek J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
12:02, 0 - 1, Warmbrodt N. Y. (G), Weber G. (A), Jabola J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
13:23, 1 - 1, Conceprio A. (G), Hedlund W. (A), Pedrazzini G. (A2)
15:16, 2 - 1, Schwenninger D. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:50, 2 - 2, Jabola J. (G), Weber G. (A), Volejnicek D. (A2)
04:43, 3 - 2, Hedlund W. (G), De Luca J. (A), Togni E. (A2)
19:40, 4 - 2, Bernazzi E. (G), Cjunskis H. (A),
Preview
Bellinzona is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Arosa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bellinzona may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Arosa has had a run of games away from home.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Bellinzona has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:13 (averaging 3.4:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bellinzona against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2.7:1.3 per game).
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Beglieri A. (G) 
Hedlund W. 
Krakauskas E. (C) 
Vlcek T. 
Cjunskis H. 
De Luca J. 
Orlov M. 
Wieczorek J. (G) 
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