The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bern 63.4%
Draw 18.5%
Ajoie 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
19.1%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
20.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Bern - Ajoie Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Bern will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Hughes C. (G)
29. Patenaude N. (G)
5. Mitchell I.
3. Honka A. (C)
57. Barandun D.
58. Zgraggen J.
71. Bemstrom E.
32. Turkulainen J.
15. Aaltonen M.
27. Tanus K.
64. Alge M.
74. Nattinen J.
Line 2
4. Dionicio R.
60. Honka J.
44. Kreis S.
26. Fey K.
63. Rohrbach D.
13. Robin L.
83. Muller M.
17. Smirnovs D.
23. Lehmann M.
7. Carr D.
Line 3
51. Rhyn N.
15. Christe G.
41. Kindschi S.
2. Pilet V.
19. Merela W. (C)
78. Sopa K.
81. Abols R.
8. Devos P.
66. Milano S.
20. Cormier C.
Line 4
14. Fullemann L.
91. Berthoud Y.
10. Scherwey T.
19. Wick J.
43. Graf A.
86. Diem N.
8. Marchon M.
73. Cavalleri C.
Substitutes
91. Ritzmann F.
25. Tarchini N.
50. von Burg C. (G)
1. Wolf T. (G)
Coaches
. Aubin S.
. Peltonen V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
05:10, 0 - 1, Honka A. (G), Zgraggen J. (A), Cormier C. (A2)
08:40, 1 - 1, Muller M. (G), Lehmann M. (A),
14:45, 2 - 1, Aaltonen M. (G), Fullemann L. (A),
16:48, Rhyn N. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:43, (2 min),
19:47, Aaltonen M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:54, 2 - 2, Honka A. (G), Sopa K. (A),
13:37, Robin L. (2 min),
19:00, Diem N. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:34, 2 - 3, Tanus K. (G), Honka J. (A), Carr D. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 3.
Bern has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Ajoie have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bern could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Bern has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Ajoie has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The betting markets point to Bern as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bern has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 71:43 (averaging 3.6:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bern against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 40:21 goals (averaging 4:2.1 per game).