Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: PostFinance Arena (Bern) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	20:45	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	19:45	MySports, MySports


	Bern		Ambrì-Piotta

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.75	3.8	Watch
	1.73	4.5	3.75
	1.73	4.52	3.77	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.5
	1.77	4.45	3.89	Watch
	1.68	4.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)	4.45 ↑ (4.37)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bern
54.1%

Draw
20.9%

Ambrì-Piotta
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

21.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

22.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ambrì-Piotta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Bern - Ambrì Piotta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bern (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Reideborn A. (G)	30. Wuthrich P. (G)
58. Loeffel R.	71. Virtanen J.
37. Lindholm A.	27. Dotti Z.
8. Marchon M.	77. Joly M.
15. Aaltonen M.	88. De Luca T.
9. Ejdsell V.	10. Formenton A.
Line 2
65. Untersander R. (C)	72. Heed T.
44. Kreis S.	58. Zgraggen J.
19. Merela W.	89. DiDomenico C.
83. Muller M.	11. Tierney C.
23. Lehmann M.	13. Landry M.
Line 3
14. Fullemann L.	59. Wuthrich D.
4. Aktell H.	21. Bachmann L.
86. Vermin J.	87. Burgler D.
43. Graf A.	44. Heim A.
10. Scherwey T.	16. Zwerger D.
Line 4
41. Kindschi S.	7. Dotti I.
88. Schild T.	12. Grassi D. (C)
91. Ritzmann F.	22. Kostner D.
64. Alge M.	17. Muller M.
Substitutes
17. Moser L.	37. Landry L.
33. Zurkirchen S. (G)	90. Senn G. (G)
Coaches
. Ehlers H.	. Landry E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
13:04, Tierney C. (2 min),
15:02, Muller M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
12:57, Grassi D. (2 min),
13:46, Marchon M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
01:40, Zwerger D. (2 min),
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, De Luca T. (Penalty Shot),
1, Ejdsell V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Burgler D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Aaltonen M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Joly M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lehmann M. (Penalty Shot),
4, DiDomenico C. (Penalty Shot),
4, Aktell H. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone National League (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 3.

Bern is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ambrì-Piotta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bern is the team to beat.

We predict that Bern will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bern won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 58:54. (average 2.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bern won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 3.1:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Ambri-Piotta	17	8	2	2	5	53:50	30
5	Bern	16	7	2	3	4	45:39	28

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Bern: 7.92% Ambri-Piotta: 2.85%

Last Results with these Odds

Bern - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.17%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Ambrì-Piotta - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bern
Swiss National League Hockey
06.01.26	EHC Kloten - Bern	2:3 ✺
03.01.26	Bern - Genève-Servette	0:3 ✺
02.01.26	Ajoie - Bern	3:4 ✺
23.12.25	Bern - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	3:2 penalties ✺
22.12.25	Lausanne HC - Bern	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWWW
- HC Ambri-Piotta
Swiss National League Hockey
06.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - EV Zug	4:0 ✺
03.01.26	Davos - Ambrì-Piotta	7:3 ✺
02.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - SCL Tigers	0:3 ✺
23.12.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Ajoie	2:5 ✺
20.12.25	Lausanne HC - Ambrì-Piotta	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
21.10.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	0:5
16.09.25	Bern - Ambrì-Piotta	3:1
27.02.25	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	4:1
15.01.25	Bern - Ambrì-Piotta	2:4
02.11.24	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	2:3 OT
28.09.24	Bern - Ambrì-Piotta	4:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.24	Ambrì-Piotta - Bern	4:2

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