Match Info

National League - Round 43

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tissot Arena (Biel/Bienne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Biel		Rapperswil-Jona Lakers

	1	X	2
	2.11	4.2	2.8	Watch
	1.99	4.15	3.1
	1.97	3.9	3.07
	1.97	4.16	3.16	Watch
	1.91	3.9	2.88
	2	4.19	3.25	Watch
	1.9	4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.17)	4.07 ↓ (4.18)	3.03 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biel
46.8%

Draw
22.7%

Rapperswil-Jona Lakers
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

22.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

23.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Rapperswil-Jona Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biel than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona Lakers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rapperswil-Jona Lakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Biel - Rapperswil Jona Lakers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Biel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Sateri H. (G)	74. Punnenovs I. (G)
33. Hultstrom L.	90. Honka J.
77. Grossmann R.	4. Larsson J.
29. Sylvegard M.	89. Lammer D.
92. Haas G. (C)	23. Dunner N. (C)
16. Hofer F.	72. Wetter G.
Line 2
18. Stampfli Y.	11. Maier F.
94. Dionicio R.	7. Capaul L.
76. Sallinen J.	94. Zangger S.
24. Andersson L.	49. Rask V.
25. Rajala T.	71. Jensen N.
Line 3
49. Zryd M.	9. Henauer M.
14. Blessing N.	17. Jelovac I.
22. Kneubuehler J.	95. Moy T.
73. Cajka P.	61. Maillet P.
27. Sablatnig Y.	88. Stromwall M.
Line 4
5. Bichsel F.	33. Hofer V.
17. Bartschi J.	28. Albrecht Y.
98. Christen L.	40. Taibel J.
13. Cattin Nolan
Substitutes
74. Janett L. (G)	69. Graf M.
23. Sever M.	60. Nyffeler M. (G)
Coaches
. Dube C.	. Lundskog J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
06:01, 1 - 0, Stampfli Y. (G), Sever M. (A), Dionicio R. (A2)
10:45, 1 - 1, Hofer V. (G), Taibel J. (A), Albrecht Y. (A2)
12:51, Jelovac I. (5 min),
15:28, 2 - 1, Hofer F. (G), Sylvegard M. (A), Cajka P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:54, 2 - 2, Lammer D. (G), Dunner N. (A), Wetter G. (A2)
07:55, Hultstrom L. (2 min),
09:05, Wetter G. (2 min),
09:05, Larsson J. (2 min),
09:05, Grossmann R. (2 min),
09:28, 2 - 3, Honka J. (G), Stromwall M. (A),
12:23, Andersson L. (2 min),
19:59, 3 - 3, Kneubuehler J. (G), Haas G. (A), Sylvegard M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:20, Henauer M. (Penalty Shot),
07:26, Kneubuehler J. (2 min),
15:55, Sylvegard M. (2 min),
16:07, 3 - 4, Lammer D. (G),
17:05, 4 - 4, Haas G. (G),
17:05, Rask V. (2 min),
18:07, 5 - 4, Cajka P. (G), Sylvegard M. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Biel won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:56. (average 2.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Biel won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 3.1:2.4).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Rapperswil-Jona: 3.28% Biel: 3.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Rapperswil-Jona	10	2	2	1	5	27:38	11
13	Biel	9	3	0	1	5	29:32	10

Last Results with these Odds

Biel - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Biel
Swiss National League Hockey
23.01.26	Lausanne HC - Biel	2:1 OT ✺
17.01.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Biel	6:1 ✺
15.01.26	Biel - Ambrì-Piotta	3:2 OT ✺
10.01.26	Biel - Bern	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Ajoie - Biel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Rapperswil-Jona Lakers
Swiss National League Hockey
23.01.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Bern	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Lausanne HC - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	3:4 OT ✺
16.01.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - ZSC Lions	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	4:3 OT ✺
08.01.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - SCL Tigers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
05.12.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Biel	2:3 penalties
17.10.25	Biel - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	4:6
23.09.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Biel	5:2
15.02.25	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Biel	3:1
04.01.25	Biel - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	2:3 penalties
25.10.24	Biel - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	3:1
20.09.24	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Biel	3:2

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