The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Biel 55.3%
Draw 20.2%
Ajoie 24.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56%
20.5%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
20.8%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Biel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-2%)
Biel - Ajoie Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Sateri H. (G)
30. Keller A. (G)
9. Soderstrom V.
3. Honka A. (C)
52. Aeschbach C.
58. Zgraggen J.
29. Sylvegard M.
7. Carr D.
24. Andersson L.
17. Smirnovs D.
53. Skinner J.
27. Tanus K.
Line 2
86. Trutmann D. (A)
60. Honka J.
75. Yakovenko A.
26. Fey K.
15. Sablatnig Y.
32. Turkulainen J.
92. Haas G. (C)
8. Devos P. (A)
61. Zwerger D.
74. Nattinen J.
Line 3
71. Burren Y.
15. Christe G.
49. Zryd M.
2. Pilet V.
16. Hofer F. (A)
78. Sopa K.
19. Neuenschwander J.
19. Wick J. (A)
23. Sever M.
20. Cormier C.
Line 4
98. Christen L.
41. Horak T.
89. Vermin J.
91. Berthoud Y.
73. Cajka P.
13. Robin L.
17. Bartschi J.
86. Diem N.
73. Cavalleri C.
Substitutes
60. Ostlund V. (G)
1. Wolf T. (G)
43. Villard J.
Coaches
. Dube C.
. Peltonen V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
01:34, 0 - 1, Nattinen J. (G), Devos P. (A), Turkulainen J. (A2)
08:53, Wick J. (2 min),
11:48, Zryd M. (2 min),
11:55, 0 - 2, Honka J. (G), Turkulainen J. (A), Wick J. (A2)
14:51, 0 - 3, Fey K. (G), Sopa K. (A),
17:00, Diem N. (2 min),
17:03, Haas G. (2 min),
19:05, 1 - 3, Cajka P. (G), Bartschi J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:55, Christe G. (2 min),
10:58, 1 - 4, Turkulainen J. (G), Nattinen J. (A),
12:28, Sateri H. ↓, Ostlund V. ↑,
13:54, Villard J. (2 min),
13:54, Honka J. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:56, 2 - 4, Haas G. (G), Neuenschwander J. (A), Sever M. (A2)
03:56, Fey K. (2 min),
05:08, Andersson L. (5 min),
05:08, Haas G. (5 min),
05:08, Pilet V. (5 min),
05:08, Carr D. (5 min),
05:08, Zgraggen J. (5 min),
05:08, Zgraggen J. (10 min),
19:39, 2 - 5, Devos P. (G), Tanus K. (A),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th in the National League (Play Out: ) and 6th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 5.
Recent results have been tough for Biel (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Ajoie have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Biel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Biel is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Biel has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:55 (averaging 3.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Biel against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 46:31 goals (averaging 4.2:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Ajoie
17
4
4
2
7
53:58
22
12
Biel
16
6
0
2
8
51:55
20
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Biel: 2.63% Ajoie: 1.13%
Last Results with these Odds
Ajoie - the odds 3.97 are the expected chance of winning is 23.55%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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Sateri H. (G) 
Keller A. (G) 
Soderstrom V. 
Aeschbach C. 
Carr D. 
Smirnovs D. 
Yakovenko A. 
Zwerger D. 
Sever M. 
Cajka P. 
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