Match Info

National League - Round 46

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Tissot Arena (Biel/Bienne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	Biel		ZSC Lions

	1	X	2
	2.8	4	2.18	Watch
	2.65	4.1	2.24
	2.63	3.84	2.24
	2.66	4.07	2.26	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.15
	2.74	4.03	2.3	Watch
	2.6	3.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.54)	3.97 ↓ (3.99)	2.22 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biel
34.8%

Draw
23.4%

ZSC Lions
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

23.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.2%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Biel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ZSC Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Biel - ZSC Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Sateri H. (G)	30. Hrubec S. (G)
33. Hultstrom L.	46. Kukan D.
49. Zryd M.	4. Geering P. (C)
29. Sylvegard M.	10. Andrighetto S.
24. Andersson L.	12. Sundstrom J.
16. Hofer F.	38. Balcers R.
Line 2
77. Grossmann R.	6. Weber Y.
94. Dionicio R.	33. Schwendeler J.
25. Rajala T. (C)	28. Froden J.
73. Cajka P.	27. Grant D.
23. Sever M.	79. Bader T.
Line 3
14. Blessing N.	44. Lehtonen M.
18. Stampfli Y.	54. Marti Ch.
22. Kneubuehler J.	9. Rohrer V.
19. Neuenschwander J.	18. Baechler N.
76. Sallinen J.	8. Riedi W.
Line 4
5. Bichsel F.	86. Trutmann D.
27. Sablatnig Y.	14. Baltisberger Ch.
98. Christen L.	13. Sigrist J.
17. Bartschi J.	73. Gruber K.
Substitutes
74. Janett L. (G)	89. Olsson D.
	40. Zumbuhl R. (G)
Coaches
. Dube C.	. Bayer M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:51, 1 - 0, Cajka P. (G), Sever M. (A), Grossmann R. (A2)
10:59, Balcers R. (2 min),
19:30, 1 - 1, Sigrist J. (G), Froden J. (A), Grant D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:49, Dionicio R. (2 min),
02:48, 1 - 2, Grant D. (G), Lehtonen M. (A), Andrighetto S. (A2)
06:36, Andrighetto S. (2 min),
09:14, Sablatnig Y. (2 min),
10:13, 1 - 3, Kukan D. (G), Balcers R. (A),
14:07, Blessing N. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
13:01, Froden J. (2 min),
17:24, 1 - 4, Baechler N. (G),
19:49, Sever M. (2 min),
19:56, 1 - 5, Baltisberger Ch. (G), Sigrist J. (A), Weber Y. (A2)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Biel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Biel won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 44:59. (average 2.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Biel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.8:2.7).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zurich: 23.46% Biel: 3.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zurich	9	7	2	0	0	37:20	25
13	Biel	9	3	0	1	5	29:32	10

Last Results with these Odds

Biel - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

ZSC Lions - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.88%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHC Biel
Swiss National League Hockey
27.01.26	Biel - Ajoie	6:3 ✺
24.01.26	Biel - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	5:4 ✺
23.01.26	Lausanne HC - Biel	2:1 OT ✺
17.01.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Biel	6:1 ✺
15.01.26	Biel - Ambrì-Piotta	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW
- ZSC Lions
Swiss National League Hockey
27.01.26	EHC Kloten - ZSC Lions	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	ZSC Lions - Fribourg-Gottéron	3:4 penalties ✺
23.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - ZSC Lions	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	ZSC Lions - Bern	3:4 OT ✺
16.01.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - ZSC Lions	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
23.12.25	ZSC Lions - Biel	4:2
14.11.25	Biel - ZSC Lions	0:2
09.09.25	ZSC Lions - Biel	4:3
11.02.25	Biel - ZSC Lions	4:3
24.01.25	ZSC Lions - Biel	3:2
22.10.24	ZSC Lions - Biel	4:2
17.09.24	Biel - ZSC Lions	1:3

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