Match Info

GERMANY: DEL - ROUND 39

Date: 4 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: EgeTrans Arena (Bietigheim-Bissingen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Bietigheim-Bissingen		ERC Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.75	1.65
	3.6	4.33	1.78
	3.75	4.1	1.76
	3.8	4.5	1.71
	3.56	4.34	1.68
	3.7	4	1.7
	4.05	4.55	1.66
	3.85	4.6	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.13)	4.4 ↓ (4.72)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bietigheim-Bissingen
24.3%

Draw
21.1%

ERC Ingolstadt
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

19.4%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

19.3%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bietigheim-Bissingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bietigheim-Bissingen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	2.6%	94.7%

Bietigheim Bissingen - ERC Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: ERC Ingolstadt will win (36 of 38 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.64% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ DEL2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bietigheim-Bissingen won 2.

Bietigheim-Bissingen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ERC Ingolstadt is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

ERC Ingolstadt will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's ERC Ingolstadt to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bietigheim-Bissingen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Bietigheim-Bissingen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bietigheim-Bissingen Hockey
German Ice Hockey League
02.01.23	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Bietigheim-Bissingen	5:0 ✺
30.12.22	Adler Mannheim - Bietigheim-Bissingen	4:1 ✺
28.12.22	Bietigheim-Bissingen - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	6:5 OT ✺
26.12.22	Bietigheim-Bissingen - Frankfurt Lions	3:6 ✺
23.12.22	Eisbären Berlin - Bietigheim-Bissingen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLL
- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
02.01.23	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	2:3 OT ✺
30.12.22	ERC Ingolstadt - Augsburger Panther	5:1 ✺
28.12.22	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	9:1 ✺
26.12.22	ERC Ingolstadt - Eisbären Berlin	4:2 ✺
23.12.22	Frankfurt Lions - ERC Ingolstadt	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
03.11.22	ERC Ingolstadt - Bietigheim-Bissingen	1:2 penalties
05.10.22	Bietigheim-Bissingen - ERC Ingolstadt	0:3
30.03.22	ERC Ingolstadt - Bietigheim-Bissingen	5:3
29.03.22	ERC Ingolstadt - Bietigheim-Bissingen	4:2
05.11.21	Bietigheim-Bissingen - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 OT
10.09.21	Bietigheim-Bissingen - ERC Ingolstadt	5:4

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