The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Black Wings Linz 49.4%
Draw 21.7%
Fehérvár AV 19 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
21.8%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
20.9%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Black Wings Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Fehérvár AV 19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fehérvár AV 19 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Black Wings Linz - Fehérvár AV 19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Tirronen R. (G)
45. Reijola R. (G)
46. Wurschl N.
59. Messner J.
47. Roe L.
67. Horvath D.
27. Ouellette-St-Amant S.
92. Kuralt A.
49. Knott G.
10. Bartalis I.
18. Ograjensek K.
36. Erdely C.
Line 2
88. Auvitu Y.
7. Stajnoch M.
23. Sollinger P.
5. Stipsicz B.
14. Neubauer H.
43. Gerlach M.
26. Barron T.
16. Hari J.
7. Lebler B.
90. Archibald D.
Line 3
3. Moro G.
40. Nagy D.
84. Lindner L.
21. Falus A.
9. Romig E.
39. Cheek T.
81. Collins S.
18. Richards J.
80. Pusnik J.
26. Kulmala R.
Line 4
96. Tialler C.
3. Varga B.
66. Gaffal S.
93. Mihaly A.
12. Oschgan J.
13. Nemeth K.
37. Kristler A.
82. Magosi B.
Substitutes
45. Reder M. (G)
35. Horvath D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
07:46, 1 - 0, Ouellette-St-Amant S. (G), Ograjensek K. (A), Tialler C. (A2)
17:04, 2 - 0, Barron T. (G), Roe L. (A), Lebler B. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
02:43, 3 - 0, Barron T. (G), Lebler B. (A), Sollinger P. (A2)
04:41, 4 - 0, Pusnik J. (G), Romig E. (A), Collins S. (A2)
13:02, 5 - 0, Oschgan J. (G), Kristler A. (A), Auvitu Y. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:19, 6 - 0, Knott G. (G), Ograjensek K. (A),
14:35, 7 - 0, Oschgan J. (G), Lindner L. (A), Kristler A. (A2)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Black Wings won 1.
Black Wings is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fehérvár's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Black Wings will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Black Wings won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 43:56. (average 2.2:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Black Wings won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 2.6:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Fehérvár AV 19 - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.64%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.