Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 33

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: AG Eisarena (Linz)


	Black Wings Linz		TWK Innsbruck

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.75	5
	1.35	5.55	6.35
	1.36	5.31	6.85	Watch
	1.3	5.5	6.5
	1.38	5.35	5.65	Watch
	1.23	7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)	5.74 ↑ (5.05)	6.06 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Black Wings Linz
68.8%

Draw
16%

TWK Innsbruck
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Black Wings Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Black Wings Linz's performance.

TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Black Wings Linz - TWK Innsbruck Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Black Wings will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Black Wings (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Black Wings (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Black Wings (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Reder M. (G)	81. Brandner J. (G)
46. Wurschl N.	13. Steffler D.
47. Roe L.	27. Kudla P.
27. Ouellette-St-Amant S.	21. Benker S.
49. Knott G.	12. Corbeil B.
18. Ograjensek K.	91. Wilkins M.
Line 2
88. Auvitu Y.	2. Moberg C.
23. Sollinger P.	4. Stoffler E.
14. Neubauer H.	60. Coatta M.
26. Barron T.	93. Lajeunesse T.
7. Lebler B.	29. Klingler L.
Line 3
3. Moro G.	5. Kerber N.
84. Lindner L.	98. Lattner J.
9. Romig E.	20. Rappold K.
81. Collins S.	39. Sproule E.
80. Pusnik J.	89. Bar L.
Line 4
96. Tialler C.	61. Frimmel W.
66. Gaffal S.	74. Klassek S.
12. Oschgan J.	44. Mader T.
37. Kristler A.	23. Dobnig J.
Substitutes
32. Tirronen R. (G)	30. Vernon M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:18, 1 - 0, Tialler C. (G), Barron T. (A), Lindner L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:42, 1 - 1, Kudla P. (G), Coatta M. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
06:40, 2 - 1, Sollinger P. (G), Collins S. (A), Pusnik J. (A2)
11:36, 3 - 1, Auvitu Y. (G), Barron T. (A), Neubauer H. (A2)
13:37, 4 - 1, Auvitu Y. (G), Kristler A. (A), Oschgan J. (A2)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Black Wings won 5.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Black Wings may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Innsbruck has had a series of home games.

In this match, Black Wings is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Black Wings won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 60:51. (average 3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Black Wings won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 2.9:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

TWK Innsbruck - the odds 5.05 are the expected chance of winning is 18.4%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Black Wings Linz
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.25	Graz 99ers - Black Wings Linz	4:3 OT ✺
21.12.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Black Wings Linz	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	Black Wings Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 ✺
17.12.25	Bolzano - Black Wings Linz	7:4 ✺
06.12.25	Black Wings Linz - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- TWK Innsbruck
Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:7 ✺
21.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	5:2 ✺
17.12.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - TWK Innsbruck	7:2 ✺
07.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Fehérvár AV 19	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
03.12.25	Black Wings Linz - TWK Innsbruck	5:4 OT
29.10.25	TWK Innsbruck - Black Wings Linz	2:4
22.12.24	Black Wings Linz - TWK Innsbruck	4:2
08.12.24	Black Wings Linz - TWK Innsbruck	2:0
13.11.24	TWK Innsbruck - Black Wings Linz	2:3 OT
13.10.24	TWK Innsbruck - Black Wings Linz	1:3
21.01.24	TWK Innsbruck - Black Wings Linz	4:5 penalties

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