The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Black Wings Linz 42.4%
Draw 21.9%
Pustertal-Val Pusteria 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
22.2%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
24%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Black Wings Linz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Pustertal-Val Pusteria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pustertal-Val Pusteria than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Black Wings Linz - Pustertal Val Pusteria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Wells D. (G)
80. Pasquale E. (G)
46. Wurschl N.
77. Di Tomaso G.
28. Wimmer P.
11. Lauridsen M. (A)
22. Erne L.
34. Purdeller T. (A)
49. Knott G.
10. Bardreau C.
12. Shaw B.
14. Ierullo A.
Line 2
3. Moro G. (A)
36. Osmanski A.
84. Lindner L.
7. Farrance D.
7. Lebler B. (C)
45. Rueschhoff A.
24. Topping K.
8. Fontaine G.
92. Maier O.
28. Bowlby H.
Line 3
13. Kragl G. (A)
55. Zanatta L.
23. Sollinger P.
21. Glira D. (C)
9. Romig E.
93. Lipon J.
72. Bliss T.
91. Fitzgerald G.
14. Neubauer H.
16. Lobis A.
Line 4
64. Eder P.
46. Deluca I.
66. Gaffal S.
22. Mantinger M.
91. Tschofen M.
17. Moncada L.
52. Pusnik J.
19. Zandegiacomo L.
Substitutes
45. Reder M. (G)
29. Furlong C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
09:11, 1 - 0, Gaffal S. (G), Sollinger P. (A), Tschofen M. (A2)
12:50, 1 - 1, Bowlby H. (G), Fontaine G. (A), Rueschhoff A. (A2)
13:32, 2 - 1, Knott G. (G), Erne L. (A), Shaw B. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:57, 3 - 1, Gaffal S. (G), Tschofen M. (A), Pusnik J. (A2)
10:08, 3 - 2, Deluca I. (G), Osmanski A. (A), Moncada L. (A2)
14:12, 4 - 2, Lebler B. (G), Bliss T. (A), Wurschl N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:31, 5 - 2, Knott G. (G), Shaw B. (A), Moro G. (A2)
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Black Wings won 2.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Val Pusteria could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Black Wings has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:55 (averaging 2.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Black Wings against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 24:17 goals (averaging 2.7:1.9 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Val Pusteria: 5.77% Black Wings Linz: 2.9%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Black Wings Linz
9
5
1
1
2
35:27
18
6
Val Pusteria
7
4
1
0
2
24:19
14
Last Results with these Odds
Black Wings Linz - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Pustertal-Val Pusteria - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.33%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.