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Current Win Probability
Graz 99ers 47%
Draw 21.7%
Pustertal-Val Pusteria 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
19.8%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
21.6%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Graz 99ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Pustertal-Val Pusteria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Graz 99ers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pustertal-Val Pusteria than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Graz 99ers - Pustertal Val Pusteria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Wieser N. (G)
29. Furlong C. (G)
3. Hora F.
77. Di Tomaso G.
58. Hanus C.
11. Lauridsen M. (A)
55. Swaney N.
14. Ierullo A.
12. Vela M. (C)
10. Bardreau C.
52. Huber P.
28. Bowlby H.
Line 2
49. Maier D.
36. Osmanski A.
18. Stapelfeldt P.
7. Farrance D.
64. Currie J.
93. Lipon J.
22. Conley K.
91. Fitzgerald G.
70. Lippitsch J.
16. Lobis A.
Line 3
82. Reiner P.
55. Zanatta L.
8. Holm O.
21. Glira D. (C)
17. Ganahl M. (A)
34. Purdeller T. (A)
13. Schiechl M. (A)
8. Fontaine G.
10. Collins C.
45. Rueschhoff A.
Line 4
81. Kirchebner M.
46. Deluca I.
74. Feldner N.
22. Mantinger M.
89. Krainz C.
17. Moncada L.
73. Dobnig J.
19. Zandegiacomo L.
Substitutes
31. Kiviaho H. (G)
30. Bampi M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:23, 0 - 1, Lobis A. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
01:16, 1 - 1, Swaney N. (G), Hora F. (A),
11:26, 1 - 2, Lipon J. (G), Lauridsen M. (A),
14:01, 1 - 3, Lipon J. (G),
16:16, 1 - 4, Fontaine G. (G), Rueschhoff A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Graz won 4.
Graz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Val Pusteria is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Graz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Val Pusteria has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Graz holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Graz has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:40 (averaging 3.2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Graz against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:20 goals (averaging 2.9:2 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Val Pusteria: 5.77%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Val Pusteria
7
4
1
0
2
24:19
14
9
Graz99ers
9
2
2
2
3
23:27
12
Last Results with these Odds
Pustertal-Val Pusteria - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.