The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Black Wings Linz 49.7%
Draw 21.2%
Vienna Capitals 29.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.5%
20.8%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
22.5%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Black Wings Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Vienna Capitals aligns with the current prediction.
Black Wings Linz - Vienna Capitals Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Wells D. (G)
39. Reideborn A. (G)
46. Wurschl N.
7. Bailen N.
28. Wimmer P.
22. Schnetzer R.
27. Ouellette-St-Amant S.
25. Gregoire J. (A)
49. Knott G.
19. Vey L. (C)
12. Shaw B.
15. Lilja J.
Line 2
3. Moro G. (A)
92. Lindner L.
84. Lindner L.
24. Bourque S.
7. Lebler B. (C)
17. Kosmachuk S.
24. Topping K.
67. Komarek K. (A)
92. Maier O.
10. Gersich S.
Line 3
13. Kragl G. (A)
8. Nogier N.
23. Sollinger P.
5. Hackl D.
9. Romig E.
82. Peeters S.
72. Bliss T.
9. Wallner L.
14. Neubauer H.
34. Koschek F.
Line 4
96. Tialler C.
13. Steffler D.
22. Erne L.
81. Richter M.
91. Tschofen M.
37. Kromp C.
66. Gaffal S.
76. Antonitsch S.
Substitutes
45. Reder M. (G)
1. Buchinger T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
10:19, 1 - 0, Shaw B. (G), Ouellette-St-Amant S. (A), Knott G. (A2)
15:20, 2 - 0, Maier O. (G), Topping K. (A), Erne L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:37, 2 - 1, Bourque S. (G), Gregoire J. (A), Lindner L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:57, 3 - 1, Knott G. (G),
12:33, 4 - 1, Shaw B. (G), Ouellette-St-Amant S. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Black Wings won 3.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Black Wings may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Black Wings is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Black Wings has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:62 (averaging 3.3:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Black Wings against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:27 goals (averaging 3.5:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Black Wings Linz
16
11
1
1
3
64:40
36
9
Vienna Capitals
14
5
2
1
6
38:39
20
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Black Wings Linz: 4.26% Vienna Capitals: 4.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Vienna Capitals - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.76%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.