Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadthalle (Villach)


	Villacher		Vienna Capitals

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	2.75
	2.15	4.33	2.60
	2.09	4.38	2.71
	1.99	4.55	2.86
	1.97	4.67	2.88	Watch
	1.97	4.5	2.8
	2.04	4.05	2.84
	2.07	4.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.18)	4.36 ↑ (4.12)	2.77 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacher
45.3%

Draw
21.2%

Vienna Capitals
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

22.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

25.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Vienna Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Villacher - Vienna Capitals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Cannata J. (G)	39. Reideborn A. (G)
52. Sproul R.	7. Bailen N.
55. Schreier L.	22. Schnetzer R.
72. Hughes J.	25. Gregoire J. (A)
17. Metzler J.	19. Vey L. (C)
8. Rebernig M.	15. Lilja J.
Line 2
42. Wall A.	92. Lindner L.
6. Walford S.	24. Bourque S.
40. Wallenta E.	17. Kosmachuk S.
16. Hancock K. (A)	67. Komarek K. (A)
41. Teasdale J.	10. Gersich S.
Line 3
26. Larochelle S.	13. Steffler D.
71. Strong S.	5. Hackl D.
91. Andersson L.	82. Peeters S.
9. Rauchenwald A. (C)	9. Wallner L.
19. Cramarossa J.	34. Koschek F.
Line 4
43. Raspotnig J.	11. Zach-Kiesling L.
11. Sintschnig J.	37. Kromp C.
78. Maxa F. (A)	76. Antonitsch S.
90. Wieltschnig P.
Substitutes
37. Swette R. (G)	36. Zimmermann M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:25, 1 - 0, Wallenta E. (G), Hancock K. (A), Teasdale J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
16:14, 1 - 1, Peeters S. (G), Vey L. (A),
17:29, 2 - 1, Hughes J. (G), Wall A. (A),
18:18, 2 - 2, Peeters S. (G), Koschek F. (A), Wallner L. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:49, 2 - 3, Lilja J. (G),
19:43, 3 - 3, Rebernig M. (G), Maxa F. (A), Metzler J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:47, 3 - 4, Bailen N. (G), Vey L. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Villach may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Villach has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Villach has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:47 (averaging 3.4:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Villach against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 40:22 goals (averaging 4:2.2 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Vienna Capitals: 2.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Villach	8	3	1	1	3	23:25	12
10	Vienna Capitals	8	2	2	1	3	24:24	11

Last Results with these Odds

Villacher - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Vienna Capitals - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
02.10.26	Villacher - Milano	7:2 ✺
30.09.26	Fehérvár AV 19 - Villacher	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Villacher	6:2 ✺
25.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Villacher	2:4 ✺
23.09.26	EC KAC - Villacher	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWL
- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
02.10.26	Vienna Capitals - TWK Innsbruck	4:0 ✺
26.09.26	Vienna Capitals - Milano	2:6 ✺
25.09.26	Graz 99ers - Vienna Capitals	3:2 OT ✺
23.09.26	Vienna Capitals - Fehérvár AV 19	3:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Vienna Capitals	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
28.01.26	Villacher - Vienna Capitals	4:1
05.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	5:2
16.11.25	Villacher - Vienna Capitals	3:2
02.11.25	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	0:3
12.02.25	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	0:4
24.01.25	Villacher - Vienna Capitals	6:3
18.10.24	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	3:4 penalties

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