Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sparkasse Arena (Bolzano) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ofner C. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	19:45	Viaplay
Finland	20:45	Viaplay
Norway	19:45	Viaplay
Sweden	19:45	Viaplay


	Bolzano		ERC Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.2	2.45	Watch
	2.36	4.28	2.53
	2.27	4.18	2.61
	3.12	4.46	1.88	Watch
	2.25	4.31	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.95	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.86)	4.23 ↓ (4.36)	2.33 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolzano
37.9%

Draw
22%

ERC Ingolstadt
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

21.2%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

21.2%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolzano's performance.

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ERC Ingolstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolzano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ERC Ingolstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Bolzano - ERC Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Vallini G. (G)	36. Brochu B. (G)
53. Larcher E.	2. Ruopp S.
45. Barberio M.	7. Jandric C.
10. Gazley D.	17. Girduckis A.
67. Bradley M.	9. Powell M.
29. Gersich S.	8. Krauss P.
Line 2
27. Seed J.	55. Tropmann E.
8. Gildon M.	95. Preto P.
19. McClure B.	37. Barber R.
39. Pollock B.	98. Abbandonato P.
24. Schneider C.	92. Schmolz D.
Line 3
15. Miglioranzi E.	13. Zerhoch D.
44. Valentine S.	50. Spornberger P.
77. Brunner P.	83. Kharboutli S.
94. Frank D.	89. Keating A.
68. Marchetti M.	91. Sheen R.
Line 4
11. DiGiacinto C.	16. Krauss J.
9. Mantenuto D.	23. Smallwood J.
93. Frigo L.	85. Hauf L.
Substitutes
38. Harvey S. (G)	30. Oswald B. (G)
Coaches
. Kleinendorst K.	. French M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:32, Brunner P. (2 min),
15:11, 1 - 0, Gersich S. (G), Gazley D. (A), Miglioranzi E. (A2)
17:03, Miglioranzi E. (2 min),
19:45, 2 - 0, Bradley M. (G), Gersich S. (A), Gazley D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:27, 2 - 1, Barber R. (G), Schmolz D. (A),
08:25, 2 - 2, Preto P. (G), Powell M. (A), Krauss P. (A2)
16:01, Schmolz D. (2 min),
19:54, Barberio M. (5 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:23, Bradley M. (2 min),
02:23, Jandric C. (2 min),
02:23, Jandric C. (2 min),
05:06, 2 - 3, Schmolz D. (G), Tropmann E. (A),

Preview

Bolzano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ingolstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ingolstadt might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Bolzano will win today's game, with odds of 2.87.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolzano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 2.4:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolzano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.31%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bolzano-Bozen
Austrian Ice Hockey League
05.10.25	Bolzano - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:2 ✺
03.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	1:4 ✺
28.09.25	Bolzano - Black Wings Linz	3:2 ✺
26.09.25	Bolzano - Ferencvárosi	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	EC KAC - Bolzano	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWWW
- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
05.10.25	Eisbären Berlin - ERC Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Straubing Tigers	6:5 OT ✺
28.09.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - ERC Ingolstadt	5:2 ✺
25.09.25	ERC Ingolstadt - EHC München	6:3 ✺
21.09.25	Adler Mannheim - ERC Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.22	ERC Ingolstadt - Bolzano	3:2
23.08.19	Bolzano - ERC Ingolstadt	4:1
24.08.18	ERC Ingolstadt - Bolzano	5:0
27.08.16	Bolzano - ERC Ingolstadt	4:2
26.08.16	ERC Ingolstadt - Bolzano	6:2

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