Match Info

DEL - Round 49

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Eisarena Bremerhaven (Bremerhaven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven		ERC Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.25	2.4	Watch
	2.4	4	2.5
	2.55	4.05	2.32	Watch
	2.65	4	2.32
	2.6	4.05	2.3	Watch
	2.5	4	2.2
	2.58	4.15	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.63)	4.07 ↑ (3.96)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven
37%

Draw
22.9%

ERC Ingolstadt
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

23.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - ERC Ingolstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Gudlevskis K. (G)	36. Brochu B. (G)
22. Eminger V.	4. Ellis M.
17. Bystrom L.	75. Breton A.
19. Smith C.	17. Girduckis A.
13. Jeglic Z.	98. Abbandonato P.
91. Verlic M.	11. Agostino K.
Line 2
15. Bettahar R.	25. Huttl L.
42. Abt M.	2. Ruopp S.
79. Conrad C.	92. Schmolz D.
51. Miele A.	10. Boucher M.
23. Gortz M.	91. Sheen R.
Line 3
72. Bruggisser P.	95. Preto P.
2. Hirose A.	50. Spornberger P.
8. Kinder N.	37. Barber R.
57. Friesen A.	86. Pietta D.
25. Herrmann F.	89. Keating A.
Line 4
53. Rausch M.	16. Krauss J.
48. Jensen Nich.	23. Smallwood J.
65. Wejse C.	85. Hauf L.
14. Mauerman R.
Substitutes
27. Hungerecker L. (G)	31. Williams D. (G)
Coaches
. Sulzer A.	. French M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
03:30, Friesen A. (2 min),
07:15, 0 - 1, Sheen R. (G), Schmolz D. (A),
08:24, Jeglic Z. (2 min),
08:52, 0 - 2, Breton A. (G), Sheen R. (A), Boucher M. (A2)
09:50, Preto P. (2 min),
10:45, 1 - 2, Hirose A. (G), Wejse C. (A), Friesen A. (A2)
16:01, 2 - 2, Conrad C. (G), Eminger V. (A), Gortz M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:42, 2 - 3, Barber R. (G), Ruopp S. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bremerhaven won 3.

Bremerhaven is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ingolstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bremerhaven won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 55:53. (average 2.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bremerhaven won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 2.8:2.1).

Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now

ERC Ingolstadt: 9.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Bremerhaven	7	3	0	0	4	13:17	9
11	ERC Ingolstadt	7	2	1	0	4	19:25	8

Last Results with these Odds

Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.49%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven
German Ice Hockey League
04.03.26	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Straubing Tigers	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Eisbären Berlin - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Adler Mannheim	1:2 OT ✺
25.02.26	Frankfurt Lions - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	4:1 ✺
27.01.26	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL
- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
04.03.26	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - ERC Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	4:1 ✺
27.02.26	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	6:3 ✺
25.02.26	EHC München - ERC Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
27.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Dresdner Eislöwen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
02.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	2:3
23.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	5:2
28.09.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - ERC Ingolstadt	5:2
02.02.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - ERC Ingolstadt	1:3
17.01.25	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - ERC Ingolstadt	ERC Ingolstadt awarded
12.12.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	2:3 penalties
20.10.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven	4:2

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