Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 39

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Sparkasse Arena (Bolzano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Bolzano		Villacher

	1	X	2
	1.57	5	4
	1.54	4.75	4.6
	1.56	4.99	4.37	Watch
	1.54	4.65	4.45
	1.5	4.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	4.78 ↑ (4.68)	4.33 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolzano
59.6%

Draw
19.2%

Villacher
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

19.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

20.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Bolzano - Villacher Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Period - draw (3.65) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Gamper C. (G)	35. Cannata J. (G)
73. Samuelsson P.	10. Vallant T.
44. Valentine S.	17. Kulda A.
19. McClure B.	72. Hughes J.
67. Bradley M.	13. Helewka A.
24. Schneider C.	91. Hutchison N.
Line 2
27. Seed J.	2. MacPherson D.
8. Gildon M.	42. Wall A.
10. Gazley D.	40. Wallenta E.
29. Gersich S.	16. Hancock K.
39. Pollock B.	22. Scherbak N.
Line 3
90. Di Perna D.	95. Katic M.
15. Miglioranzi E.	71. Strong S.
11. DiGiacinto C.	26. van Nes G.
9. Mantenuto D.	78. Maxa F.
93. Frigo L.	46. Sintschnig P.
Line 4
28. Gennaro M.	18. Uschan N.
13. Cairns M.	34. Prodinger D.
77. Brunner P.	14. Tschurnig J.
18. Misley B.	8. Rebernig M.
94. Frank D.
Substitutes
38. Harvey S. (G)	37. Swette R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:14, 0 - 1, Strong S. (G), Scherbak N. (A), Katic M. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:36, 0 - 2, Hutchison N. (G), Wall A. (A), Helewka A. (A2)
12:43, 1 - 2, Cairns M. (G), Misley B. (A), Miglioranzi E. (A2)
16:29, 2 - 2, Gildon M. (G), McClure B. (A), Pollock B. (A2)
19:44, 3 - 2, Gersich S. (G), Pollock B. (A), Gildon M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
11:11, 4 - 2, Gazley D. (G), Gersich S. (A),
11:38, 4 - 3, Rebernig M. (G), Katic M. (A), Hancock K. (A2)
18:43, 4 - 4, Hutchison N. (G), MacPherson D. (A), Scherbak N. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02', 4 - 5, (G),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolzano won 3.

Recent performances by Bolzano have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villach is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bolzano is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bolzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bolzano won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 64:54. (average 3.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolzano won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:19. (average 3.8:1.9).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Bolzano: 14.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Bolzano	8	5	1	2	0	31:20	19
8	Villach	8	3	1	1	3	23:25	12

Last Results with these Odds

Bolzano - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.61%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bolzano-Bozen
Austrian Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	Graz 99ers - Bolzano	3:2 OT ✺
05.01.26	Bolzano - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 penalties ✺
03.01.26	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Bolzano	3:5 ✺
01.01.26	EC KAC - Bolzano	1:2 OT ✺
30.12.25	Bolzano - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW
- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	Villacher - EC KAC	2:3 ✺
05.01.26	Vienna Capitals - Villacher	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	3:0 ✺
01.01.26	Villacher - TWK Innsbruck	6:2 ✺
30.12.25	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
28.12.25	Villacher - Bolzano	1:4
03.12.25	Villacher - Bolzano	4:1
12.10.25	Bolzano - Villacher	3:6
14.03.25	Villacher - Bolzano	2:4
11.03.25	Bolzano - Villacher	6:1
09.03.25	Villacher - Bolzano	5:3
07.03.25	Bolzano - Villacher	3:1

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