The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villacher 31.3%
Draw 21.5%
Graz 99ers 47.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.4%
21.7%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
22.9%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Graz 99ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villacher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Graz 99ers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villacher - Graz 99ers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Cannata J. (G)
30. Wieser N. (G)
52. Sproul R.
81. Kirchebner M.
55. Schreier L.
3. Hora F.
41. Teasdale J.
55. Swaney N.
16. Hancock K. (A)
12. Vela M. (C)
40. Wallenta E.
22. Conley K.
Line 2
10. Vallant T.
49. Maier D.
42. Wall A.
18. Stapelfeldt P. (A)
72. Hughes J.
70. Lippitsch J.
17. Metzler J.
64. Currie J. (A)
8. Rebernig M.
23. Roy K.
Line 3
26. Larochelle S.
58. Hanus C.
71. Strong S.
8. Holm O.
90. Wieltschnig P.
17. Ganahl M.
9. Rauchenwald A. (C)
10. Collins C.
19. Cramarossa J.
52. Huber P.
Line 4
43. Raspotnig J.
82. Reiner P.
21. Mandl K.
20. Brunner N.
78. Maxa F. (A)
74. Feldner N.
11. Sintschnig J.
13. Schiechl M.
73. Dobnig J.
Substitutes
37. Swette R. (G)
31. Kiviaho H. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
13:17, 1 - 0, Hancock K. (G), Hughes J. (A), Sproul R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:21, 1 - 1, Dobnig J. (G), Maier D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:59, 2 - 1, Hancock K. (G), Wallenta E. (A), Wall A. (A2)
09:46, 2 - 2, Roy K. (G), Hanus C. (A),
10:53, 2 - 3, Collins C. (G), Feldner N. (A),
18:01, 2 - 4, Ganahl M. (G), Dobnig J. (A),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Graz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Villach has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:60 (averaging 2.9:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villach against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 23:34 goals (averaging 2.3:3.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Graz99ers
15
5
3
3
4
43:45
24
8
Villach
14
5
1
3
5
39:39
20
Last Results with these Odds
Villacher - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Graz 99ers - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.87%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.