Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadthalle (Villach)


	Villacher		Graz 99ers

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.5	1.8
	3	4.2	2
	3.05	4.05	1.98
	3.39	4.23	1.85
	3.38	4.25	1.86	Watch
	3	4.2	1.85
	3.09	4.1	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3.06)	4.22 ↑ (4.19)	1.89 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacher
29.3%

Draw
21.9%

Graz 99ers
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

22.2%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.2%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Graz 99ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Villacher - Graz 99ers Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Villach will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Graz will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villach (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Cannata J. (G)	33. Lagace M. (G)
2. MacPherson D.	4. Holzer K.
42. Wall A.	5. Kotkansalo K.
72. Hughes J.	22. Conley K.
16. Hancock K.	64. Currie J.
26. van Nes G.	23. Roy K.
Line 2
95. Katic M.	7. Bailen N.
77. Lindner P.	20. Brunner N.
40. Wallenta E.	55. Swaney N.
13. Helewka A.	21. Haudum L.
22. Scherbak N.	52. Huber P.
Line 3
71. Strong S.	3. Hora F.
10. Vallant T.	18. Stapelfeldt P.
46. Sintschnig P.	10. Collins C.
12. Budgell B.	13. Schiechl M.
8. Rebernig M.	17. Ganahl M.
Line 4
65. Kernberger M.	15. Braun L.
43. Raspotnig J.	74. Feldner N.
14. Tschurnig J.	28. Moosbrugger L.
34. Prodinger D.	40. Harnisch T.
Substitutes
37. Swette R. (G)	70. Lippitsch J.
	30. Wieser N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 6)
04:36, 0 - 1, Haudum L. (G),
06:14, 0 - 2, Collins C. (G), Kotkansalo K. (A), Holzer K. (A2)
06:25, 0 - 3, Swaney N. (G), Huber P. (A), Haudum L. (A2)
07:41, 0 - 4, Conley K. (G), Roy K. (A), Holzer K. (A2)
12:19, 0 - 5, Kotkansalo K. (G), Haudum L. (A), Holzer K. (A2)
15:18, 0 - 6, Conley K. (G), Roy K. (A), Bailen N. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:17, 1 - 6, Helewka A. (G), Rebernig M. (A), MacPherson D. (A2)
19:26, 2 - 6, Budgell B. (G), Hancock K. (A), Lindner P. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Graz 99ers leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 0.

In recent matches, Villach has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Graz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Graz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Graz might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villach won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:57. (average 3.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Villach won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 2.3:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Villach	8	3	1	1	3	23:25	12
9	Graz99ers	9	2	2	2	3	23:27	12

Last Results with these Odds

Villacher - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Graz 99ers - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.43%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
14.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	4:1 ✺
12.03.26	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:5 ✺
10.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:1 OT ✺
06.03.26	Black Wings Linz - Villacher	1:5 ✺
04.03.26	Villacher - Black Wings Linz	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWW
- Graz 99ers
Austrian Ice Hockey League
14.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	4:1 ✺
12.03.26	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:5 ✺
10.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:1 OT ✺
01.03.26	Black Wings Linz - Graz 99ers	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
14.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	4:1
12.03.26	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:5
10.03.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:1 OT
27.02.26	Graz 99ers - Villacher	2:0
30.12.25	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:4
17.10.25	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:6
28.09.25	Graz 99ers - Villacher	3:4

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