The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TWK Innsbruck 31.5%
Draw 21.1%
Villacher 47.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.1%
19.5%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
20.8%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TWK Innsbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
TWK Innsbruck - Villacher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Harvey S. (G)
35. Cannata J. (G)
59. Messner J. (A)
52. Sproul R. (A)
77. Lindner P. (A)
55. Schreier L.
21. Benker S.
72. Hughes J. (A)
96. Owre S.
17. Metzler J.
71. Macierzynski K.
19. Cramarossa J.
Line 2
13. Frimmel W.
42. Wall A.
65. Kernberger M.
6. Walford S.
47. Witting M. (C)
40. Wallenta E.
16. Richards J.
16. Hancock K.
95. Scherbak N.
41. Teasdale J.
Line 3
4. Stoffler E.
26. Larochelle S.
18. Mayer C.
71. Strong S.
20. Rappold K.
90. Wieltschnig P.
22. Davis B.
9. Rauchenwald A. (C)
89. Bar L.
21. Mandl K.
Line 4
29. Klingler L.
43. Raspotnig J.
63. Bretschneider N.
78. Maxa F.
44. Mader T.
11. Sintschnig J.
5. Kerber N.
Substitutes
81. Brandner J. (G)
37. Swette R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
08:31, 1 - 0, Witting M. (G), Scherbak N. (A), Richards J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:15, 1 - 1, Wallenta E. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:48, 1 - 2, Teasdale J. (G), Wallenta E. (A),
18:17, 2 - 2, Owre S. (G), Davis B. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:52, 3 - 2, Mayer C. (G), Scherbak N. (A),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 11th and 8th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Innsbruck won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Villach may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Villach is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Innsbruck has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:76 (averaging 2.8:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Innsbruck against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 33:37 goals (averaging 3.3:3.7 per game).
Watch
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Harvey S. (G) 
Cannata J. (G) 
Sproul R. (A) 
Lindner P. (A) 
Benker S. 
Scherbak N. 
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