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Current Win Probability
Villacher 55.9%
Draw 19.9%
TWK Innsbruck 24.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
19.9%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
21.4%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
TWK Innsbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Villacher - TWK Innsbruck Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Cannata J. (G)
38. Harvey S. (G)
52. Sproul R.
59. Messner J. (A)
55. Schreier L.
18. Mayer C.
72. Hughes J.
89. Bar L.
17. Metzler J.
22. Davis B.
8. Rebernig M.
21. Benker S.
Line 2
42. Wall A.
12. Wichers Q.
6. Walford S.
77. Lindner P. (A)
40. Wallenta E.
47. Witting M. (C)
16. Hancock K. (A)
96. Owre S.
41. Teasdale J.
71. Macierzynski K.
Line 3
26. Larochelle S.
4. Stoffler E.
71. Strong S.
65. Kernberger M.
91. Andersson L.
20. Rappold K.
9. Rauchenwald A. (C)
16. Richards J.
90. Wieltschnig P.
95. Scherbak N.
Line 4
10. Vallant T.
13. Frimmel W.
43. Raspotnig J.
5. Kerber N.
28. Topalovic B.
63. Bretschneider N.
78. Maxa F. (A)
29. Klingler L.
11. Sintschnig J.
Substitutes
37. Swette R. (G)
81. Brandner J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:44, 1 - 0, Andersson L. (G), Wieltschnig P. (A), Rauchenwald A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:13, 2 - 0, Hancock K. (G), Walford S. (A), Wall A. (A2)
11:25, 3 - 0, Wallenta E. (G), Larochelle S. (A), Teasdale J. (A2)
18:27, 4 - 0, Hancock K. (G), Teasdale J. (A), Schreier L. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Villach could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Villach has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, Villach is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Villach has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:55 (averaging 3.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villach against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 37:19 goals (averaging 4.1:2.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Villach
14
5
1
3
5
39:39
20
13
TWK Innsbruck
16
3
3
0
10
34:53
15
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
TWK Innsbruck: 0.81%
Last Results with these Odds
TWK Innsbruck - the odds 4.37 are the expected chance of winning is 21.25%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Cannata J. (G) 
Harvey S. (G) 
Sproul R. 
Schreier L. 
Benker S. 
Scherbak N. 
Topalovic B. 
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