Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 35

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadthalle (Villach)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Villacher		TWK Innsbruck

	1	X	2
	1.25	7	7
	1.31	5.95	6.9
	1.31	6.49	6.67	Watch
	1.32	5.8	6.31
	1.18	7.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)	6.6 ↑ (5.57)	6.78 ↑ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacher
72.4%

Draw
14%

TWK Innsbruck
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

16.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

14.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villacher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Villacher - TWK Innsbruck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Cannata J. (G)	81. Brandner J. (G)
2. MacPherson D.	13. Steffler D.
77. Lindner P.	27. Kudla P.
72. Hughes J.	21. Benker S.
16. Hancock K.	12. Corbeil B.
91. Hutchison N.	89. Bar L.
Line 2
17. Kulda A.	2. Moberg C.
42. Wall A.	4. Stoffler E.
22. Scherbak N.	60. Coatta M.
13. Helewka A.	93. Lajeunesse T.
40. Wallenta E.	74. Klassek S.
Line 3
10. Vallant T.	53. Ebner M.
71. Strong S.	98. Lattner J.
25. Ritchie B.	20. Rappold K.
78. Maxa F.	91. Wilkins M.
8. Rebernig M.	47. Witting M.
Line 4
14. Tschurnig J.	61. Frimmel W.
95. Katic M.	5. Kerber N.
46. Sintschnig P.	23. Dobnig J.
	44. Mader T.
	29. Klingler L.
Substitutes
37. Swette R. (G)	30. Vernon M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:56, 0 - 1, Witting M. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:00, 1 - 1, Helewka A. (G), Scherbak N. (A), Ritchie B. (A2)
04:51, 2 - 1, MacPherson D. (G), Maxa F. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
01:20, 2 - 2, Corbeil B. (G),
03:53, 3 - 2, Helewka A. (G), Scherbak N. (A), Wall A. (A2)
09:56, 4 - 2, Helewka A. (G), Wallenta E. (A), Scherbak N. (A2)
17:16, 5 - 2, Hutchison N. (G), Helewka A. (A), MacPherson D. (A2)
18:02, 6 - 2, Hughes J. (G), Hutchison N. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 3.

Villach is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Innsbruck is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Innsbruck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villach is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villach won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 74:56. (average 3.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Villach won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 3.7:2.3).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

TWK Innsbruck: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Villach	8	3	1	1	3	23:25	12
11	TWK Innsbruck	9	3	1	0	5	22:26	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
30.12.25	Villacher - Graz 99ers	1:4 ✺
28.12.25	Villacher - Bolzano	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	EC KAC - Villacher	5:2 ✺
21.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	5:2 ✺
19.12.25	Villacher - Ferencvárosi	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- TWK Innsbruck
Austrian Ice Hockey League
30.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
28.12.25	Black Wings Linz - TWK Innsbruck	4:1 ✺
26.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	1:7 ✺
21.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	5:2 ✺
17.12.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - TWK Innsbruck	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	5:2
25.10.25	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	2:1
11.10.25	Villacher - TWK Innsbruck	5:1
28.12.24	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	4:5 OT
13.12.24	Villacher - TWK Innsbruck	8:2
22.11.24	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	0:6
06.10.24	Villacher - TWK Innsbruck	4:2

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