Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 28

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Patinoire de Mériadeck (Bordeaux)


	Bordeaux		Gap

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	5.25	4.6
	1.4	4.9	5.4
	1.43	5.2	5.63	Watch
	1.4	5	5.5
	1.42	4.9	5.29	Watch
	1.41	4.75	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	5 ↑ (4.8)	5.28 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
64.4%

Draw
18.3%

Gap
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

19.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

19.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Gap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Bordeaux - Gap Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dubeau A. (G)	1. Gilbert A. (G)
58. Beaudry J.	86. Cerda J.
72. Bruche B.	9. Cerda P.
42. Dogemont A.	20. Chauvel R.
20. Dusseau K. (A)	32. Cruchandeau C.
96. Farnier L.	48. Dorey A.
73. Giroux T.	73. Gagnon R. (A)
7. Guidoux T.	80. Hamalainen A.
13. Guillaume J. (A)	7. Langlais C. (C)
46. Kindl J.	5. Lemaitre B.
52. Lamarche M.	89. Linjala M.
91. Morin P.	53. Matus R. (A)
24. Pageau N.	4. Mikrogiannakis D.
19. Pompei M.	14. Murnieks D.
27. Poudrier L. (C)	95. Orlov M.
71. Puffer C.	49. Pulkkinen T.
76. Rambelo A.	12. Raabe D.
14. Tomasino Q.	15. Santerno L.
23. Tournier U.	91. Siraudin P.
	77. Ten Braak B.
Substitutes
1. Barrier E. (G)	38. Richard G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
06:42, 0 - 1, Raabe D. (G), Ten Braak B. (A),
10:27, 1 - 1, Tomasino Q. (G),
18:57, 1 - 2, Dorey A. (G), Santerno L. (A), Murnieks D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:11, 2 - 2, Pageau N. (G), Guillaume J. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 2)
02:13, 2 - 3, Chauvel R. (G), Lemaitre B. (A),
03:11, 3 - 3, Giroux T. (G),
04:20, 4 - 3, Rambelo A. (G), Bruche B. (A), Pageau N. (A2)
09:01, 5 - 3, Bruche B. (G), Morin P. (A), Lamarche M. (A2)
13:28, 5 - 4, Matus R. (G), Hamalainen A. (A), Lemaitre B. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bordeaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bordeaux has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bordeaux is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:48. (average 3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bordeaux won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 2.7:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gap - the odds 5.31 are the expected chance of winning is 17.49%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bordeaux GHC
French Ligue Magnus
23.12.25	Amiens - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Bordeaux - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Bordeaux	7:3 ✺
French Hockey Cup
16.12.25	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Bordeaux	5:1 ✺
French Ligue Magnus
05.12.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Bordeaux	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW
- Rapaces de Gap
French Ligue Magnus
23.12.25	Gap - Chamonix	5:2 ✺
21.12.25	Gap - Amiens	4:3 OT ✺
19.12.25	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Gap	8:2 ✺
05.12.25	Nice - Gap	6:3 ✺
02.12.25	Gap - Rouen	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
14.11.25	Gap - Bordeaux	0:4
03.10.25	Bordeaux - Gap	1:4
17.01.25	Bordeaux - Gap	2:1
08.12.24	Gap - Bordeaux	1:2
19.11.24	Bordeaux - Gap	7:0
11.10.24	Gap - Bordeaux	1:5
30.01.24	Gap - Bordeaux	4:5

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