The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bordeaux 68%
Draw 17%
Gap 15.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.4%
16.3%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.6%
18.4%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Gap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Bordeaux - Gap Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Richard G. (G)
30. Scarfone T. (G)
58. Beaudry J.
79. Abramov N. (A)
8. Boscq J.
15. Bouvet M.
72. Bruche B.
11. Brassard J.
11. Carry E.
48. Dorey A.
20. Dusseau K. (C)
7. Escallier A.
96. Farnier L.
13. Esipov I.
18. Fenenko N.
19. Fauchon Q.
16. Girard F.
88. Kebets A.
73. Giroux T.
12. Kyte P.
7. Guidoux T.
40. Manciot B.
13. Guillaume J. (A)
53. Matus R. (C)
52. Lamarche M. (A)
14. Murnieks D.
21. Leborgne K.
24. Nicholson R.
9. Mongo Y.
93. Nieminen K.
91. Morin P.
73. Raveaud H.
76. Rambelo A.
29. Simond C.
14. Tomasino Q.
17. Tsekos Z. (A)
16. Zago B.
Substitutes
1. Barrier E. (G)
57. Darier J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:18, 1 - 0, Morin P. (G), Dusseau K. (A), Farnier L. (A2)
14:07, 2 - 0, Boscq J. (G), Giroux T. (A), Guidoux T. (A2)
15:26, 2 - 1, Bouvet M. (G), Esipov I. (A), Murnieks D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:32, 2 - 2, Bouvet M. (G), Murnieks D. (A), Matus R. (A2)
18:27, 3 - 2, Fenenko N. (G), Leborgne K. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:47, 3 - 3, Brassard J. (G), Tsekos Z. (A), Nieminen K. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:59, 3 - 4, Murnieks D. (G), Kyte P. (A), Tsekos Z. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Gap could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Bordeaux has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, Bordeaux enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Bordeaux in today's match, at odds of 1.32.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bordeaux has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:52 (averaging 3.2:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bordeaux against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 28:25 goals (averaging 3.1:2.8 per game).