Match Info

NHL

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: TD Garden (Boston, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Boston Bruins		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	3	4.2	2.05	Watch
	3.01	4.18	2.08
	3.06	4.3	2.03	Watch
	3	4.33	2.1
	3.07	4.32	2.04	Watch
	2.95	4.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.5)	4.26 ↑ (4.15)	2.06 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston Bruins
31.5%

Draw
22.3%

Vegas Golden Knights
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

22.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

21.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston Bruins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston Bruins's form might have worsened.

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vegas Golden Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston Bruins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vegas Golden Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Boston will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Period - Boston (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Korpisalo J. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
73. McAvoy C. (A)	27. Theodore S.
45. Aspirot J.	5. Lauzon J.
88. Pastrnak D. (A)	61. Stone M. (C)
28. Lindholm E.	9. Eichel J. (A)
92. Khusnutdinov M.	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
6. Lohrei M.	6. Korczak K.
27. Lindholm H. (A)	15. Hanifin N.
71. Arvidsson V.	16. Dorofeyev P.
18. Zacha P.	93. Marner M.
11. Mittelstadt C.	19. Smith R.
Line 3
26. Peeke A.	52. Coghlan D.
91. Zadorov N.	17. Hutton B.
39. Geekie M.	55. Kolesar K.
93. Minten F.	48. Hertl T. (A)
21. Steeves A.	42. Bowman B.
Line 4
47. Kastelic M.	26. Holtz A.
52. Kuraly S.	28. Laczynski T.
84. Jeannot T.	23. Reinhardt C.
Substitutes
1. Swayman J. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
Coaches
. Sturm M.	. Cassidy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
03:22, Zacha P. (2 min),
09:01, Hertl T. (2 min),
09:12, 1 - 0, McAvoy C. (G), Pastrnak D. (A), Geekie M. (A2)
09:42, 2 - 0, Lindholm E. (G), Pastrnak D. (A), Geekie M. (A2)
10:06, 3 - 0, Jeannot T. (G), Kuraly S. (A),
17:26, Kastelic M. (5 min),
17:26, Lauzon J. (5 min),
20:00, Geekie M. (2 min),
20:00, Reinhardt C. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:25, 4 - 0, Pastrnak D. (G), Zadorov N. (A), Lindholm E. (A2)
15:36, Zadorov N. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:31, 4 - 1, Eichel J. (G), Hanifin N. (A), Korczak K. (A2)
01:38, Khusnutdinov M. (2 min),
03:01, 4 - 2, Hertl T. (G), Stone M. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
03:46, Aspirot J. (2 min),
06:58, Coghlan D. (2 min),
17:25, 4 - 3, Dorofeyev P. (G), Theodore S. (A), Marner M. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Boston: Harris J. (Ankle Injury) Jokiharju H. (Personal Reasons)

There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Howden B. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNabb B. (Upper-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Saad B. (Injury) Sissons C. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Boston won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:44. (average 2.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 3:2.9).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Boston Bruins: 0.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.4%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston Bruins
NHL
20.01.26	Dallas Stars - Boston Bruins	6:2 ✺
17.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Boston Bruins	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	Boston Bruins - Seattle Kraken	4:2 ✺
13.01.26	Boston Bruins - Detroit Red Wings	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Boston Bruins - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
19.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Nashville Predators	7:2 ✺
15.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs	6:5 OT ✺
14.01.26	Los Angeles Kings - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT ✺
11.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.10.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	6:5
20.03.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	5:1
08.02.25	Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4
29.02.24	Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights	5:4
11.01.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	2:1 OT
11.12.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Boston Bruins	1:3
05.12.22	Boston Bruins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:4 penalties

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