Match Info

NHL

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vegas Golden Knights		Philadelphia Flyers

	1	X	2
	1.69	4.5	4	Watch
	1.74	4.49	3.9
	1.72	4.6	3.96	Watch
	1.73	4.5	4
	1.73	4.62	3.97
	1.71	4.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2)	4.52 ↑ (4.28)	3.97 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegas Golden Knights
55.1%

Draw
21%

Philadelphia Flyers
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

22.1%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

21.9%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vegas Golden Knights's performance.

Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Flyers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vegas Golden Knights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Flyers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1, OT - Vegas (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Vegas (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vegas Golden Knights will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Hill A. (G)	33. Ersson S. (G)
27. Theodore S.	8. York C.
5. Lauzon J.	6. Sanheim T. (A)
61. Stone M. (C)	11. Konecny T. (A)
9. Eichel J. (A)	22. Dvorak C.
49. Barbashev I.	46. Zegras T.
Line 2
4. Andersson R.	9. Drysdale J.
15. Hanifin N.	24. Seeler N.
19. Smith R.	74. Tippett O.
93. Marner M.	14. Couturier S. (C)
16. Dorofeyev P.	52. Barkey D.
Line 3
6. Korczak K.	47. Juulsen N.
17. Hutton B.	36. Andrae E.
42. Bowman B.	10. Brink B.
48. Hertl T. (A)	27. Cates N.
55. Kolesar K.	39. Michkov M.
Line 4
26. Holtz A.	91. Grundstrom C.
28. Laczynski T.	19. Hathaway G.
23. Reinhardt C.	29. Grebyonkin N.
Substitutes
40. Schmid A. (G)	35. Kolosov A. (G)
Coaches
. Cassidy B.	. Tocchet R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:46, 0 - 1, Konecny T. (G),
10:28, Dvorak C. (2 min),
12:19, Hill A. (2 min),
13:50, Barkey D. (2 min),
19:41, Michkov M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:03, Cates N. (2 min),
19:28, 1 - 1, Hertl T. (G), Eichel J. (A), Stone M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
06:09, Sanheim T. (2 min),
07:22, 1 - 2, Konecny T. (G),
08:13, Laczynski T. (2 min),
13:29, Drysdale J. (2 min),
18:27, Tippett O. (2 min),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 4.

Vegas has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Philadelphia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vegas is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNabb B. (Upper-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Saad B. (Injury) Sissons C. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury) Ristolainen R. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Vegas: Howden B. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Abols R. (Lower-Body Injury) Brink B. (Upper-Body Injury) Vladar D. (Injury)

We predict that Vegas will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:45. (average 2.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 3:3.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Philadelphia Flyers: 1.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.29%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.61%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
17.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Nashville Predators	7:2 ✺
15.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs	6:5 OT ✺
14.01.26	Los Angeles Kings - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT ✺
11.01.26	San Jose Sharks - Vegas Golden Knights	2:7 ✺
10.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - St. Louis Blues	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Philadelphia Flyers
NHL
17.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Rangers	3:6 ✺
15.01.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Philadelphia Flyers	6:3 ✺
14.01.26	Buffalo Sabres - Philadelphia Flyers	5:2 ✺
12.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:5 ✺
10.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
11.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT
02.01.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	5:2
25.11.24	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	4:5 penalties
18.11.23	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 OT
24.10.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	3:2
14.03.23	Philadelphia Flyers - Vegas Golden Knights	3:5
09.12.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Philadelphia Flyers	2:1 OT

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