Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Bratislava Capitals		TWK Innsbruck

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.4	2.95
	2.01	4.33	2.91
	2	4	2.8
	2	4.4	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.99)	4.28 ↓ (4.37)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bratislava Capitals
46.3%

Draw
21.7%

TWK Innsbruck
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

21.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

17%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bratislava Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

TWK Innsbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bratislava Capitals than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bratislava Capitals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TWK Innsbruck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bratislava Capitals - TWK Innsbruck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Bratislava Capitals is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

TWK Innsbruck is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Bratislava Capitals have a series of home games.

Bratislava Capitals will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bratislava Capitals won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bratislava Capitals won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bratislava Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
07.11.21	Bratislava Capitals - Orli Znojmo	Canceled ✺
05.11.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Bratislava Capitals	Canceled ✺
02.11.21	Bratislava Capitals - Villacher	0:5 ✺
29.10.21	Dornbirn - Bratislava Capitals	Canceled ✺
26.10.21	Bratislava Capitals - EC KAC	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 ??L?W
- TWK Innsbruck
Austrian Ice Hockey League
07.11.21	TWK Innsbruck - Vienna Capitals	2:3 ✺
05.11.21	Villacher - TWK Innsbruck	2:3 OT ✺
31.10.21	TWK Innsbruck - Black Wings Linz	5:2 ✺
29.10.21	EC KAC - TWK Innsbruck	1:4 ✺
26.10.21	TWK Innsbruck - Dornbirn	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.09.21	TWK Innsbruck - Bratislava Capitals	1:5
07.03.21	Bratislava Capitals - TWK Innsbruck	2:3
14.02.21	TWK Innsbruck - Bratislava Capitals	0:3
30.01.21	Bratislava Capitals - TWK Innsbruck	3:2
22.12.20	TWK Innsbruck - Bratislava Capitals	2:3 penalties
30.11.20	Bratislava Capitals - TWK Innsbruck	5:2
04.10.20	TWK Innsbruck - Bratislava Capitals	2:3 penalties

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