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Current Win Probability
Bridgeport Islanders 39.4%
Draw 22.3%
Utica Comets 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
22%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
24.4%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bridgeport Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bridgeport Islanders's form might have worsened.
Utica Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utica Comets's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bridgeport Islanders than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bridgeport Islanders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utica Comets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bridgeport Islanders - Utica Comets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hogberg M. (G)
31. Malek J. (G)
49. Bear E.
2. Addison C.
34. Beckman A.
4. Cholowski D.
47. Day S.
15. Criscuolo K. (A)
36. Drew H.
9. Crookshank A. (A)
7. Dube P.
73. Edwards E.
8. Foudy L.
14. Gruden J.
44. Gauthier J.
24. Halonen B.
4. George I.
39. Hardman M.
20. Highmore M. (A)
18. Lachance S.
16. Jefferies A.
11. Legare N.
11. Kuefler D.
28. McLaughlin M.
17. Larson J.
21. Melovsky M.
18. Maggio M.
44. Osipov D.
3. McWard C.
67. Parent X.
10. Mitchell T.
26. Schmelzer R. (C)
25. Terry C. (A)
12. Squires C.
15. Thiesing C.
7. Strand A.
6. Warren M.
38. Vilen T.
Substitutes
45. Smith J. (G)
50. Daws N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:39, 1 - 0, Maggio M. (G), Bear E. (A), George I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:31, 1 - 1, McLaughlin M. (G), Strand A. (A), Legare N. (A2)
13:30, 2 - 1, Highmore M. (G), Jefferies A. (A), Bear E. (A2)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bridgeport won 1.
Bridgeport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Utica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bridgeport won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:70. (average 2.8:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bridgeport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 2.6:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Utica Comets - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.