Match Info

AHL

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Amica Mutual Pavilion (Providence, RI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Providence Bruins		Bridgeport Islanders

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.33	3.4	Watch
	1.83	4.15	3.4
	1.8	4.31	3.51
	1.79	4.37	3.56	Watch
	1.75	4.2	3.5
	1.79	4.35	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	4.29 ↑ (4.13)	3.49 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Providence Bruins
51.9%

Draw
21.6%

Bridgeport Islanders
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

22.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Providence Bruins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Bridgeport Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bridgeport Islanders than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Providence Bruins - Bridgeport Islanders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. DiPietro M. (G)	1. Hogberg M. (G)
47. Abate J.	49. Bear E.
18. Blumel M.	34. Beckman A.
16. Brown C.	14. Berg C.
38. Brown P. (C)	47. Day S.
23. Callahan M.	7. Dube P.
11. Duran R.	43. Eiserman C.
26. Farinacci J.	12. Eklund V.
24. Gallagher T.	8. Foudy L.
12. Hagens J.	20. Highmore M. (A)
37. Kalmikov B.	16. Jefferies A.
10. Merkulov G.	11. Kuefler D.
21. Poitras M.	17. Larson J.
8. Schmaltz J.	29. Luff M.
29. Soderstrom V.	3. McWard C.
6. Sweezey B. (A)	10. Mitchell T.
27. Tufte R. (A)	24. Rowe L.
13. Wanner M.	15. Thiesing C.
86. Wolanin C.	6. Warren M.
Substitutes
34. Zajicek S. (G)	32. Kotai J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
10:32, 0 - 1, Mitchell T. (G), Highmore M. (A),
11:39, 0 - 2, Highmore M. (G), Luff M. (A), Eklund V. (A2)
15:15, 1 - 2, Abate J. (G), Callahan M. (A), Schmaltz J. (A2)
18:38, 2 - 2, Merkulov G. (G), Poitras M. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
13:47, 3 - 2, Tufte R. (G), Brown P. (A), Wolanin C. (A2)
14:44, 4 - 2, Tufte R. (G), Poitras M. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
08:26, 5 - 2, Hagens J. (G), Tufte R. (A), Wolanin C. (A2)
12:53, 5 - 3, Eiserman C. (G), Luff M. (A), Bear E. (A2)
14:44, 6 - 3, Tufte R. (G), Poitras M. (A), Merkulov G. (A2)
17:07, 6 - 4, McWard C. (G), Day S. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Providence is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 4.

Providence has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bridgeport is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Providence may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Providence is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Providence won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 74:40. (average 3.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:21. (average 3.7:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Providence Bruins - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.96%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Providence Bruins
AHL
25.03.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Providence Bruins - Utica Comets	5:2 ✺
20.03.26	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	3:4 ✺
18.03.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Providence Bruins	6:3 ✺
15.03.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL
- Bridgeport Islanders
AHL
27.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Laval Rocket	3:2 penalties ✺
25.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Charlotte Checkers	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	3:6 ✺
21.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	4:3 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Charlotte Checkers - Bridgeport Islanders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins	4:1
01.03.26	Providence Bruins - Bridgeport Islanders	3:2
28.02.26	Providence Bruins - Bridgeport Islanders	3:2 penalties
15.02.26	Providence Bruins - Bridgeport Islanders	3:2 OT
14.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins	2:4
04.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins	1:2
24.01.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins	3:4 penalties

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