Match Info

AHL

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Blue Cross Arena (Rochester, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Rochester Americans		Utica Comets

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.6	Watch
	2.22	3.9	2.7
	2.1	4.2	2.81
	2.07	4.27	2.84	Watch
	2.1	4	2.7
	2.08	4.25	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.27)	4.1 ↓ (4.19)	2.75 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochester Americans
43.7%

Draw
22.6%

Utica Comets
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

22.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

23.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochester Americans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Utica Comets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rochester Americans - Utica Comets Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Levi D. (G)	31. Malek J. (G)
15. Bayreuther G.	2. Addison C.
73. Costantini M.	15. Criscuolo K. (A)
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.	9. Crookshank A. (A)
4. Geertsen M.	73. Edwards E.
91. Helenius K.	14. Gruden J.
23. Johnson R.	24. Halonen B.
39. Jones Z.	39. Hardman M.
8. Joshua J.	18. Lachance S.
83. Komarov V.	11. Legare N.
16. Kuntar T.	13. Malone J.
36. Laaouan N.	28. McLaughlin M.
25. Lawrence K.	21. Melovsky M.
7. Leschyshyn J.	44. Osipov D.
72. Meyer C. (A)	67. Parent X.
20. Nadeau O.	12. Squires C.
5. Rathbone J. (A)	7. Strand A.
24. Wahlberg A.	38. Vilen T.
45. Warren B. (A)	6. White C. (A)
Substitutes
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)	50. Daws N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:19, 0 - 1, Parent X. (G), Lachance S. (A), Strand A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:05, 1 - 1, Jones Z. (G), Johnson R. (A), Helenius K. (A2)
16:27, 1 - 2, Halonen B. (G), Melovsky M. (A), Crookshank A. (A2)
19:01, 1 - 3, Melovsky M. (G), Crookshank A. (A), Criscuolo K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:19, 1 - 4, Strand A. (G), Criscuolo K. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 3.

Rochester is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Utica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rochester has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 78:55. (average 3.9:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:32. (average 3.8:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Utica Comets - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.88%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochester Americans
AHL
07.03.26	Laval Rocket - Rochester Americans	4:3 penalties ✺
06.03.26	Laval Rocket - Rochester Americans	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	Rochester Americans - Laval Rocket	3:9 ✺
25.02.26	Cleveland Monsters - Rochester Americans	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Utica Comets
AHL
08.03.26	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	7:3 ✺
06.03.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:2 ✺
03.03.26	Utica Comets - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
15.02.26	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	4:7
14.02.26	Utica Comets - Rochester Americans	1:4
07.02.26	Utica Comets - Rochester Americans	1:5
23.01.26	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	3:0
17.01.26	Utica Comets - Rochester Americans	3:0
17.12.25	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	2:3
03.12.25	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	3:4 OT

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