Match Info

NHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Buffalo Sabres		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.7	Watch
	2.42	3.85	2.65
	2.41	4.14	2.6
	2.36	4.24	2.47	Watch
	2.3	3.8	2.5
	2.37	4.23	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	4.04 ↑ (4)	2.58 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
40%

Draw
23.4%

Montreal Canadiens
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

23.6%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Montreal will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Luukkonen U. (G)	75. Dobes J. (G)
23. Samuelsson M. (A)	45. Carrier A.
26. Dahlin R. (C)	8. Matheson M. (A)
72. Thompson T.	20. Slafkovsky J.
9. Norris J.	14. Suzuki N. (C)
6. Benson Z.	13. Caufield C.
Line 2
25. Power O.	53. Dobson N.
4. Byram B.	48. Hutson L.
89. Tuch A. (A)	93. Demidov I.
71. McLeod R.	71. Evans J.
91. Doan J.	15. Newhook A.
Line 3
21. Timmins C.	21. Guhle K.
73. Metsa Z.	72. Xhekaj A.
22. Quinn J.	17. Anderson J. (A)
94. Helenius K.	24. Danault P.
17. Zucker J.	85. Texier A.
Line 4
29. Malenstyn B.	90. Veleno J.
19. Krebs P.	77. Dach K.
12. Greenway J.	76. Bolduc Z.
Substitutes
34. Lyon A. (G)	32. Fowler J. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:30, 0 - 1, Danault P. (G), Guhle K. (A), Texier A. (A2)
12:34, Benson Z. (2 min),
14:29, 0 - 2, Bolduc Z. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:19, 1 - 2, Greenway J. (G), Samuelsson M. (A), Malenstyn B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:34, Danault P. (2 min),
06:27, 2 - 2, Dahlin R. (G), Power O. (A), McLeod R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
11:22, 2 - 3, Newhook A. (G), Carrier A. (A),

Preview

Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 67:73. (average 3.4:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 2.8:4.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

Montreal Canadiens: 3.88% Buffalo Sabres: 2.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.4%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
16.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	3:8 ✺
14.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	3:6 ✺
12.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	6:2 ✺
08.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
16.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	3:8 ✺
14.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	3:6 ✺
12.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	6:2 ✺
08.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	3:8
14.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	3:6
12.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	2:3
10.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres	6:2
08.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	1:5
06.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	4:2
31.01.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	2:4

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