The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buran Moscow 41.8%
Draw 22.3%
Kaluga 35.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
19%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
19.4%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buran Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buran Moscow's form might have worsened.
Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaluga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buran Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Buran Moscow - Kaluga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:29, 1 - 0, Andreyev Y. (G), Asaturov I. (A),
11:25, 1 - 1, Foroshchuk A. (G), Novikov D. (A),
11:45, 2 - 1, Leonov A. (G), Senkin O. (A), Boyarkin Y. (A2)
17:49, 3 - 1, Belyakov D. (G), Petrochenko A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:44, 3 - 2, Meshcherin K. (G), Bubin K. (A), Meshkantsov Z. (A2)
10:46, 4 - 2, Nevretdinov D. (G), Pirogov M. (A), Mikhailov N. (A2)
19:26, 5 - 2, Mikhailov N. (G),
Preview
Buran Moscow has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Kaluga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Buran Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Buran Moscow has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Buran Moscow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Buran Moscow won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
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