Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.43	3.2
	1.83	3.35	3.1
	2.23	3.84	2.78	Watch
	2.1	3.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.41)	3.61 ↓ (3.88)	2.98 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
44.8%

Draw
25%

Zauralie Kurgan
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

24.1%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk's performance.

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zauralie Kurgan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zauralie Kurgan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zauralie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)	30. Skovronsky A. (G)
91. Lyakhov A.	74. Spitsenko K.
77. Putintsev V.	33. Bochkov I.
97. Sorokin D.	88. Rybakov V.
81. Lapin S.	27. Shipin D.
17. Dyuryagin D.	47. Grymzin S.
Line 2
98. Abdeyev I.	62. Smyshlyayev P.
67. Vasilyev K.	16. Avvakumov I.
41. Darin	83. Shamshurin S.
7. Kamenev V.	73. Ivanov M.
93. Korenev I.	8. Galiaskarov E.
Line 3
18. Tolpegin D.	95. Dautov M.
86. Zaitsev D.	70. Kolmagorov K.
79. Arzhanov D.	28. Pishchalnikov P.
14. Drobin A.	14. Volgin I.
69. Konov V.	72. Luchenkov S.
Line 4
75. Sorokin K.	11. Zakharov N.
34. Ponomaryov T.	97. Bogdanov A.
11. Makhanovsky P.	25. Kondyrev K.
92. Korinevsky M.	82. Shiryayev I.
Substitutes
1. Noskov A. (G)	21. Nikishin M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
14:42, 1 - 0, Konov V. (G), Kamenev V. (A), Darin (A2)
19:50, 2 - 0, Lapin S. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A), Putintsev V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:50, 3 - 0, Ponomaryov T. (G), Konov V. (A), Lyakhov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:58, 3 - 1, Pishchalnikov P. (G), Grymzin S. (A), Spitsenko K. (A2)

Preview

Kirovo-Chepetsk has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zauralie has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kirovo-Chepetsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kirovo-Chepetsk has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Zauralie has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Kirovo-Chepetsk has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 2.3:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kirovo-Chepetsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:7 goals (averaging 1:3.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Olympia	20	6	2	1	11	50:55	17
27	Kurgan	17	2	2	4	9	30:49	12

Last Results with these Odds

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
18.10.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Omskie Krylia	2:3 ✺
13.10.26	Dynamo-Altay - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:4 ✺
11.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:4 ✺
06.10.26	Norilsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
15.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
13.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
11.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Tambov	0:3 ✺
09.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Buran Voronezh	2:3 penalties ✺
01.10.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:3
17.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:3 OT
28.02.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:4
22.09.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	5:4 penalties

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