Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.70	2.63
	2.00	3.60	2.55
	2.49	3.90	2.43	Watch
	2.33	3.85	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.84)	3.76 ↓ (4)	2.53 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
40.5%

Draw
23.9%

Rubin Tyumen
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

23.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk's performance.

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Tyumen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Tyumen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kirovo-Chepetsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)	30. Yunin I. (G)
91. Lyakhov A.	69. Kukhno A.
77. Putintsev V.	77. Bannikov A.
97. Sorokin D.	57. Kanitsky Y.
81. Lapin S. (A)	89. Gorbunov D.
17. Dyuryagin D.	82. Reshetko M.
Line 2
98. Abdeyev I.	55. Stikhanovsky M.
67. Vasilyev K.	12. Lyutov D.
41. Daryin A.	22. Babenko Y.
7. Kamenev V. (A)	71. Koltygin P.
93. Korenev I.	3. Ivanov Y. D.
Line 3
18. Tolpegin D.	76. Kartashov A.
86. Zaitsev D.	11. Popov Y.
13. Kuzmin I.	99. Kolesnikov S.
14. Drobin A.	79. Loza I.
69. Konov V.	53. Voevodin D.
Line 4
75. Sorokin K.	72. Bykov N.
34. Ponomaryov T.	4. Fedotov A.
11. Makhanovsky P. (C)	9. Gorokhov P.
15. Novokshenov I.	14. Mekhovov I.
	13. Ageyev V.
Substitutes
1. Noskov A. (G)	56. Valiullin S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Voevodin D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Daryin A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Babenko Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kamenev V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Popov Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lapin S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gorbunov D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Dyuryagin D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Kanitsky Y. (Penalty Shot),
5, Sorokin D. (Penalty Shot),
6, Kamenev V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Fedotov A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Daryin A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Ivanov Y. D. (Penalty Shot),
8, Daryin A. (Penalty Shot),
8, Ivanov Y. D. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Rubin could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Rubin has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kirovo-Chepetsk in today's match, at odds of 2.36.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Kirovo-Chepetsk has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 2:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kirovo-Chepetsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 2:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
19	Rubin Tyumen	18	3	5	2	8	40:49	18
21	Olympia	20	6	2	1	11	50:55	17

Last Results with these Odds

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.99%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
20.10.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:1 ✺
18.10.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Omskie Krylia	2:3 ✺
13.10.26	Dynamo-Altay - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:4 ✺
11.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLW
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
17.10.26	Rubin Tyumen - Kristall Saratov	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Rubin Tyumen - Dizel Penza	2:3 AET ✺
13.10.26	Rubin Tyumen - Tambov	3:2 OT ✺
11.10.26	Rubin Tyumen - Buran Voronezh	4:3 penalties ✺
03.10.26	Omskie Krylia - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties
15.11.25	Rubin Tyumen - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:3 penalties
24.02.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:4
26.09.24	Rubin Tyumen - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:1

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