The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dizel Penza 49.8%
Draw 23.7%
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk 26.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.6%
24%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
25.3%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
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Preview
Dizel is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Kirovo-Chepetsk have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Dizel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Kirovo-Chepetsk has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Dizel is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Dizel has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:2 (averaging 3.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dizel against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:0 goals (averaging 5:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
21
Olympia
20
6
2
1
11
50:55
17
26
Dizel
17
3
3
2
9
33:42
14
Last Results with these Odds
Dizel Penza - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.4%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.