Match Info

VHL

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Vysotsky Sports Palace (Samara)


	CSK VVS Samara		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.8	3.42
	1.99	4.05	3.15	Watch
	2.1	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.33)	3.95 ↑ (3.85)	3.06 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSK VVS Samara
46.2%

Draw
23.5%

Gornyak-UGMK
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

23.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSK VVS Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSK VVS Samara's performance.

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gornyak-UGMK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSK VVS Samara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gornyak-UGMK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
71. Popov D. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
8. Gorbunov K.	4. Bolshakov M.
61. Vafin K.	83. Karpovich D.
13. Demchenko V.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
19. Galimov A.	87. Loza I.
94. Anop D. (A)	59. Razdyakonov V.
Line 2
18. Safonov I. (A)	91. Malorosiyanov D.
17. Kalabushkin E.	50. Shchemerov A.
68. Gogolev P.	7. Gordin A.
32. Barabanov V.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
25. Petrov G.	80. Demidovich V.
Line 3
96. Ganabin Y.	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
47. Morozov Y.	72. Trofimov Y.
63. Groshev Y. (C)	96. Miller N.
11. Mustafin R.	14. Makhrin M. (A)
75. Dyadenkin D.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 4
98. Shumilov V.	95. Dumchenko N.
22. Kuznetsov A.	90. Nekrasov N.
81. Litvinov I.	79. Tarasov M.
87. Borodin D.	29. Khremkin K.
	32. Borisov S.
Substitutes
90. Ovcharik D. (G)	35. Tulinov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
03:56, 1 - 0, Kalabushkin E. (G), Anop D. (A), Galimov A. (A2)
08:32, 2 - 0, Dyadenkin D. (G), Kuznetsov A. (A), Mustafin R. (A2)
12:00, 3 - 0, Litvinov I. (G), Dyadenkin D. (A),
15:00, 4 - 0, Kuznetsov A. (G), Morozov Y. (A), Gogolev P. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:21, 5 - 0, Gogolev P. (G), Barabanov V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 3.

CSK VVS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

CSK VVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CSK VVS has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that CSK VVS will win today's game, with odds of 2.19.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 33:63. (average 2.4:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, CSK VVS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 2.3:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
25	CSK VVS	16	3	1	1	11	31:56	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
11.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:5 ✺
09.02.26	Molot Perm - CSK VVS Samara	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
05.02.26	Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Kristall Saratov	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
13.02.26	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 penalties ✺
29.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - CSK VVS Samara	4:3 penalties
15.02.25	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	5:4 OT
04.10.24	Gornyak-UGMK - CSK VVS Samara	11:2
24.11.23	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1
18.11.23	Gornyak-UGMK - CSK VVS Samara	4:6
30.01.22	Gornyak-UGMK - CSK VVS Samara	6:2
25.09.21	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 penalties

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