Match Info
VHLDate: 1 February 2026, SundayLocation: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)
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Norilsk |
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Gornyak-UGMK |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.72 |
3.73 |
2.22 |
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3.04 |
4.15 |
2.01 |
 Watch |
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2.95 |
3.85 |
1.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.7) |
3.91 ↑
(3.77) |
2.06 ↓
(2.21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Norilsk
31.7% | Draw
23.6% | Gornyak-UGMK
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Norilsk - Gornyak UGMK Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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45.  Nikitin V. (G)
| 35. Tulinov N. (G)
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28. Makeyev N.
| 90. Nekrasov N. (A)
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64. Minayev Y.
| 4. Bolshakov M.
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63. Yemets I.
| 7. Gordin A.
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92. Yakovlev Y. (A)
| 13. Zaytsev O. (C)
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71. Golodnyuk S.
| 80.  Demidovich V.
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| Line 2 |
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44. Kovalev I.
| 22. Molodtsov D.
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18. Alexeyev D.
| 72. Trofimov Y.
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69. Skorikov D.
| 29. Khremkin K.
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10. Lipanov A.
| 14. Makhrin M. (A)
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56. Mokin N. (C)
| 44. Lukhovskoy N.
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| Line 3 |
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21. Kolomiytsev I.
| 91. Malorosiyanov D.
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72. Korchemkin D.
| 3. Zubarev A.
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19. Aksenov A.
| 96. Miller N.
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86. Melnichenko K.
| 18. Sushchev V.
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51. Popov O.
| 59. Razdyakonov V.
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| Line 4 |
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3. Kudryashov I.
| 95. Dumchenko N.
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99. Kandakov D.
| 83. Karpovich D.
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58. Yadykin Y.
| 19. Chernikov Y.
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14. Sinyatkin S.
| 87. Loza I.
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| 79. Tarasov M.
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| Substitutes |
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37. Botov M. (G)
| 20. Obvintsev T. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Razdyakonov V. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Yemets I. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Skorikov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Golodnyuk S. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Mokin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Zaytsev O. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Aksenov A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.Norilsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Gornyak-UGMK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:38. (average 3.1:3.5).Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 4:1.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | HC Norilsk | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 32:32 | 18 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.57%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VHL | | | 18.10.25 | Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk | 4:1 | | 04.04.25 | Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK | 5:2 | | 02.04.25 | Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk | 12:1 | | 30.03.25 | Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK | 3:2 | | 28.03.25 | Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK | 4:0 | | 25.03.25 | Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk | 2:6 | | 23.03.25 | Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk | 2:1 OT |
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