Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.23	4.24
	1.6	4.65	4.43	Watch
	1.52	4.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	4.43 ↑ (4.12)	4.36 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
58.3%

Draw
20.7%

SKA-VMF
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Gornyak UGMK - SKA VMF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	30. Zavragin Y. (G)
85. Zhuravlyov Y.	27. Sapunov V.
72. Trofimov Y.	84. Vydrenkov I.
96. Miller N.	39. Kuzminov Y.
14. Makhrin M. (A)	17. Kabush M. (A)
44. Lukhovskoy N.	97. Nugmanov A.
Line 2
90. Nekrasov N. (A)	63. Anisimov S.
50. Shchemerov A.	80. Gryaznov G. (C)
7. Gordin A.	16. Demidov S.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)	24. Sharov A.
80. Demidovich V.	85. Kapchuk S.
Line 3
91. Malorosiyanov D.	48. Salnikov E.
4. Bolshakov M.	12. Remezovsky I.
29. Khremkin K.	81. Slivchenko M.
18. Sushchev V.	37. Ilyichyov M.
32. Borisov S.	23. Osipov G.
Line 4
95. Dumchenko N.	89. Surayev N.
83. Karpovich D.	6. Marchenko T.
59. Razdyakonov V.	56. Khanin M.
87. Loza I.
79. Tarasov M.
Substitutes
35. Tulinov N. (G)	10. Ignatov I.
	52. Moysevich P. (G)
	74. Podlyagin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:15, 0 - 1, Slivchenko M. (G), Khanin M. (A), Salnikov E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
14:58, 0 - 2, Ilyichyov M. (G), Khanin M. (A), Slivchenko M. (A2)
16:17, 1 - 2, Malorosiyanov D. (G), Sushchev V. (A), Borisov S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:26, 1 - 3, Osipov G. (G), Slivchenko M. (A), Remezovsky I. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.

Gornyak-UGMK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SKA-VMF is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 51:66. (average 2.7:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 3.1:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
01.02.26	Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 penalties ✺
29.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
25.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Gornyak-UGMK	1:7 ✺
20.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
01.02.26	SKA-VMF - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	SKA-VMF - Molot Perm	2:4 ✺
28.01.26	SKA-VMF - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
26.01.26	SKA-VMF - Izhstal	4:2 ✺
22.01.26	Kristall Saratov - SKA-VMF	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.10.25	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.08.25	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3
VHL
06.02.25	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	2:4
17.10.24	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	4:5 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.24	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	7:4
VHL
08.01.24	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	3:2 penalties
11.10.23	SKA-VMF - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2

Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide