The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calgary Flames 37.8%
Draw 23.5%
New York Islanders 38.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
23%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
23.3%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calgary Flames's form might have worsened.
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calgary Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Islanders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
35.7%
50%
Calgary Flames - New York Islanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY Islanders: 23.8% โ 76.2%.
11:51, 1 - 0, Sharangovich Y. (G), Andersson R. (A), Bahl K. (A2)
16:59, Bahl K. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:04, 2 - 0, Klapka A. (G), Bahl K. (A), Frost M. (A2)
09:50, 3 - 0, Kirkland J. (G), Lomberg R. (A), Klapka A. (A2)
11:49, 4 - 0, Kuznetsov Y. (G), Kadri N. (A), Zary C. (A2)
12:21, 4 - 1, Pageau J. (G), Schaefer M. (A), Holmstrom S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:14, Pelech A. (2 min),
17:02, 4 - 2, Lee A. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Schaefer M. (A2)
18:11, Huberdeau J. (2 min),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Calgary: Bean J.
(Injury)
Beecher J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Coleman B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Honzek S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Horvat B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Calgary: Parekh Z.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 57:47. (average 2.9:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 2.9:2.3).
Outrights of NHL for now
New York Islanders: 0.56% Calgary Flames: 0.2%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Islanders - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 33.75%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.