The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 45.6%
Draw 22.6%
Calgary Flames 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
21%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
20.3%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
25%
33.3%
Montreal Canadiens - Calgary Flames Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Calgary will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Fowler J. (G)
32. Wolf D. (G)
53. Dobson N.
4. Andersson R.
8. Matheson M. (A)
7. Bahl K.
85. Texier A.
17. Sharangovich Y.
14. Suzuki N. (C)
91. Kadri N. (A)
13. Caufield C.
86. Farabee J.
Line 2
45. Carrier A.
52. Weegar M. (A)
48. Hutson L.
37. Kuznetsov Y.
93. Demidov I.
43. Klapka A.
91. Kapanen O.
16. Frost M.
20. Slafkovsky J.
10. Huberdeau J.
Line 3
47. Struble J.
48. Brzustewicz H.
72. Xhekaj A.
44. Hanley J.
11. Gallagher B. (A)
27. Coronato M.
24. Danault P.
11. Backlund M. (C)
76. Bolduc Z.
20. Coleman B.
Line 4
62. Beck O.
65. Stromgren W.
90. Veleno J.
47. Zary C.
27. Blais S.
70. Lomberg R.
Substitutes
75. Dobes J. (G)
1. Cooley D. (G)
Coaches
. St. Louis M.
. Huska R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
17:28, Struble J. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:10, 1 - 0, Texier A. (G), Carrier A. (A), Caufield C. (A2)
04:55, Danault P. (2 min),
07:05, 2 - 0, Hutson L. (G), Danault P. (A), Texier A. (A2)
08:12, 3 - 0, Kapanen O. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A),
08:55, (2 min),
12:15, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
17:39, 3 - 1, Farabee J. (G), Sharangovich Y. (A), Brzustewicz H. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:56, 4 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Texier A. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
10:21, Gallagher B. (2 min),
11:24, Andersson R. (2 min),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Evans J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Guhle K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Calgary: Bean J.
(Injury)
Honzek S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Pospisil M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Anderson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Calgary: Cooley D.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 41:47. (average 2.1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2:1.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.83% Calgary Flames: 0.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Flames - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 33.23%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
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Fowler J. (G) 
Dobson N. 
Andersson R. 
Texier A. 
Sharangovich Y. 
Kuznetsov Y. 
Klapka A. 
Kapanen O. 
Slafkovsky J. 
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