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Current Win Probability
Chicago Blackhawks 40.1%
Draw 23.1%
Calgary Flames 36.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
23.5%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
24.6%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Blackhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Blackhawks than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Calgary Flames aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
20%
10%
Chicago Blackhawks - Calgary Flames Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Calgary will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5, OT - Chicago (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Knight S. (G)
1. Cooley D. (G)
46. Crevier L.
4. Andersson R.
72. Vlasic A.
7. Bahl K.
28. Burakovsky A.
43. Klapka A.
98. Bedard C.
91. Kadri N.
20. Greene R.
47. Zary C.
Line 2
55. Levshunov A.
52. Weegar M.
44. Kaiser W.
37. Kuznetsov Y.
95. Mikheyev I.
27. Coronato M.
16. Dickinson J.
11. Backlund M.
59. Bertuzzi T.
17. Sharangovich Y.
Line 3
5. Murphy C.
94. Pachal B.
24. Grzelcyk M.
44. Hanley J.
76. Lardis N.
86. Farabee J.
11. Moore O.
16. Frost M.
8. Donato R.
10. Huberdeau J.
Line 4
84. Slaggert L.
15. Hunt D.
17. Foligno N.
23. Kirkland J.
34. Dach C.
70. Lomberg R.
Substitutes
40. Soderblom A. (G)
32. Wolf D. (G)
Coaches
. Blashill J.
. Huska R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
02:38, 1 - 0, Foligno N. (G), Dach C. (A), Slaggert L. (A2)
03:04, Grzelcyk M. (2 min),
03:14, 1 - 1, Sharangovich Y. (G), Backlund M. (A), Zary C. (A2)
05:15, Weegar M. (2 min),
06:05, 1 - 2, Backlund M. (G),
10:34, Weegar M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
06:23, Cooley D. (2 min),
11:09, Hanley J. (2 min),
13:16, Moore O. (2 min),
17:51, Farabee J. (5 min),
17:51, Murphy C. (5 min),
18:30, Donato R. (2 min),
18:30, Levshunov A. (2 min),
18:30, Hunt D. (2 min),
19:20, Zary C. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:37, Mikheyev I. (2 min),
11:37, Sharangovich Y. (2 min),
18:59, 1 - 3, Coronato M. (G), Sharangovich Y. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
Chicago has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Calgary has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
Recently, Calgary has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 63:64. (average 3.2:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 2.7:3.3).
Outrights of NHL for now
Chicago Blackhawks: 0.33% Calgary Flames: 0.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Flames - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.25%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.
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Knight S. (G) 
Crevier L. 
Andersson R. 
Klapka A. 
Levshunov A. 
Kuznetsov Y. 
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