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Current Win Probability
Calgary Hitmen 54.9%
Draw 19.7%
Regina Pats 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
20.7%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
21.7%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Hitmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Regina Pats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Regina Pats than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Tu E. (G)
30. Tabashnuik T. (G)
15. Anaka G.
20. Bear C.
7. Aura H. (A)
55. Cermak T.
3. Batchelor T.
11. Derkatch D.
14. Belanger G.
38. Deschamps D. (A)
29. Brown B.
42. Deschamps J.
4. Hamilton C.
24. Egland J.
26. Hildebrandt S.
10. Fawcett K.
21. Jundt K.
6. Hamilton R. (C)
11. Katsuro A.
29. Karsay S.
25. Kresl C. (A)
37. Klassen C.
6. Leander J.
57. Lansard Z.
27. Maze J.
21. Mieyette E.
10. McCann K.
18. Moore Z. (A)
8. Molgachyov A.
44. Paranych M.
9. Sanderson C. (A)
13. Pue L.
2. Simard M.
19. Schultz M. (A)
18. Vanek B.
52. Sejna O.
34. Wilkie C.
26. Tukio O.
Substitutes
30. Hesse A. (G)
33. Mooney D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
01:51, 0 - 1, Fawcett K. (G), Moore Z. (A),
09:39, 0 - 2, Pue L. (G), Fawcett K. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
10:02, 1 - 2, Kresl C. (G),
12:29, 2 - 2, Sanderson C. (G), Aura H. (A), Kresl C. (A2)
14:28, 2 - 3, Pue L. (G), Mieyette E. (A),
16:56, 2 - 4, Paranych M. (G), Klassen C. (A), Schultz M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
16:35, 2 - 5, Schultz M. (G), Moore Z. (A),
19:11, 2 - 6, Pue L. (G), Mieyette E. (A),
19:54, 2 - 7, Cermak T. (G), Bear C. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 4.
Calgary has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Regina has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Calgary may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Regina has had a run of games away from home.
Calgary is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Calgary in today's match, at odds of 1.74.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Calgary has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:73 (averaging 3.5:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Calgary against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 46:34 goals (averaging 4.6:3.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Hitmen - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.79%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Regina Pats - the odds 3.51 are the expected chance of winning is 26.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.