Match Info

AHL

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Calgary Wranglers		Henderson Silver Knights

	1	X	2
	2.5	4.2	2.1	Watch
	2.65	3.85	2.25
	2.75	3.95	2.21
	2.74	4.02	2.2	Watch
	2.6	3.8	2.2
	2.74	4	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.32)	3.97 ↓ (4.15)	2.19 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Wranglers
34.7%

Draw
23.3%

Henderson Silver Knights
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

22.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

24.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calgary Wranglers's form might have worsened.

Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calgary Wranglers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henderson Silver Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Sergeev A. (G)	30. Lindbom C. (G)
22. Bell P.	12. Brabenec J.
19. Bishop C. (C)	8. Cataford M.
41. Cicek N.	47. Cholach A.
29. Frk M. (A)	52. Coghlan D.
20. Gallant A. (A)	24. Connelly T.
3. Grushnikov A.	84. Davies J.
15. Hunt D.	50. Fleming J.
44. King C.	63. Hemmerling B.
23. Kirkland J.	41. Hickey B.
33. Mack S.	26. Holtz A.
26. Miromanov D.	74. Kmec J. V.
21. Morin E.	28. Laczynski T.
45. Morton S.	36. Lavoie R.
28. Othmann B.	75. McLain M. (A)
25. Silye D.	88. Megna J. (C)
11. Stromgren W.	25. Sapovaliv M.
36. Suniev A.	77. Uchacz K. (A)
8. White G.	37. Uronen T.
Substitutes
50. Prosvetov I. (G)	39. Whitehead C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
06:38, 0 - 1, McLain M. (G), Uchacz K. (A),
11:03, 0 - 2, Brabenec J. (G), Cholach A. (A),
18:07, 0 - 3, Laczynski T. (G), Lavoie R. (A), Connelly T. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:51, 0 - 4, McLain M. (G), Davies J. (A), Hemmerling B. (A2)
06:40, 1 - 4, Silye D. (G), Bell P. (A), Cicek N. (A2)
13:03, 2 - 4, Bishop C. (G), Othmann B. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 4)
08:16, 3 - 4, Frk M. (G), Miromanov D. (A), Kirkland J. (A2)
09:14, 3 - 5, Holtz A. (G), Cholach A. (A),
09:48, 3 - 6, Kmec J. V. (G), Uchacz K. (A),
12:04, 3 - 7, McLain M. (G), Uchacz K. (A), Holtz A. (A2)
12:55, 3 - 8, Lavoie R. (G), Holtz A. (A), Coghlan D. (A2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.

Calgary is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Henderson is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Henderson has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Henderson will win today's game, with odds of 2.21.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:61. (average 3.5:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:35. (average 3.5:3.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Wranglers
AHL
17.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	5:6 ✺
15.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	2:4 ✺
13.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Manitoba Moose	7:2 ✺
08.03.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Calgary Wranglers	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Calgary Wranglers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Henderson Silver Knights
AHL
17.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	5:6 ✺
15.03.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Henderson Silver Knights	5:7 ✺
14.03.26	Abbotsford Canucks - Henderson Silver Knights	1:4 ✺
11.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	6:7 OT ✺
10.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
17.03.26	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	5:6
16.11.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Calgary Wranglers	5:2
15.11.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Calgary Wranglers	4:6
08.02.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Calgary Wranglers	2:1 penalties
07.02.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Calgary Wranglers	5:2
22.12.24	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	0:3
20.12.24	Calgary Wranglers - Henderson Silver Knights	5:3

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