Match Info

AHL

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tucson Convention Center (Tucson, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Tucson Roadrunners		Henderson Silver Knights

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.2	2.05	Watch
	2.65	4.1	2.19
	2.65	4.3	2.13
	2.68	4.35	2.15	Watch
	2.7	4	2.1
	2.68	4.34	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.38)	4.22 ↑ (3.8)	2.13 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tucson Roadrunners
34.7%

Draw
21.9%

Henderson Silver Knights
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

24.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

25.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Henderson Silver Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henderson Silver Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tucson Roadrunners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henderson Silver Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Hrabal M. (G)	39. Whitehead C. (G)
29. Agozzino A. (A)	42. Bowman B.
12. Allard O.	8. Cataford M.
44. Connauton K. (A)	52. Coghlan D.
39. Hebig C.	24. Connelly T.
4. Holt B.	84. Davies J.
10. Lamoureux M.	50. Fleming J.
43. Lutz J.	59. Hallum J.
94. Matikka M.	63. Hemmerling B.
22. McCartney B.	41. Hickey B.
45. Nordh N.	78. Johansen L.
7. Perunovich S.	74. Kmec J. V.
27. Poganski A. (C)	36. Lavoie R.
77. Psenicka M.	89. McKay R.
15. Ricketts J.	75. McLain M. (A)
5. Russo R.	88. Megna J. (C)
55. Szuber M.	25. Sapovaliv M.
17. Tullio T.	77. Uchacz K. (A)
25. Walker S.	37. Uronen T.
Substitutes
30. Stauber J. (G)	30. Lindbom C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:21, 1 - 0, Hebig C. (G),
10:48, 2 - 0, Ricketts J. (G), Matikka M. (A), Lutz J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:22, 3 - 0, Hebig C. (G), Perunovich S. (A), Connauton K. (A2)
10:14, 3 - 1, Uchacz K. (G), Bowman B. (A),
11:37, 3 - 2, Fleming J. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
11:52, 4 - 2, Hebig C. (G),
17:13, 5 - 2, Poganski A. (G), Hebig C. (A),
19:04, 5 - 3, Kmec J. V. (G), Uronen T. (A),
19:46, 5 - 4, Lavoie R. (G), Sapovaliv M. (A), Connelly T. (A2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Henderson is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 1.

Tucson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Henderson is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tucson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tucson has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 67:68. (average 3.4:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 3.5:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Tucson Roadrunners - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tucson Roadrunners
AHL
17.04.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	2:1 penalties ✺
15.04.26	San Diego Gulls - Tucson Roadrunners	1:5 ✺
11.04.26	Colorado Eagles - Tucson Roadrunners	3:2 OT ✺
10.04.26	Colorado Eagles - Tucson Roadrunners	2:5 ✺
08.04.26	Bakersfield Condors - Tucson Roadrunners	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWL
- Henderson Silver Knights
AHL
17.04.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	2:1 penalties ✺
14.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Bakersfield Condors	3:2 OT ✺
11.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - San Jose Barracuda	4:1 ✺
10.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - San Jose Barracuda	9:6 ✺
08.04.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Henderson Silver Knights	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
17.04.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	2:1 penalties
04.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	5:4
03.04.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3
11.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	6:7 OT
10.03.26	Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights	0:5
25.01.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:3 OT
24.01.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	4:3

Tucson Roadrunners - Henderson Silver Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide