Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Canisius Golden Griffins		Mercyhurst Lakers

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.9	5.6
	1.4	4.6	5.5
	1.42	4.9	5.29
	1.43	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.73 ↑ (4.6)	5.35 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canisius Golden Griffins
64%

Draw
19.1%

Mercyhurst Lakers
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

19.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

14.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canisius Golden Griffins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mercyhurst Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canisius Golden Griffins than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canisius Golden Griffins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercyhurst Lakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canisius Golden Griffins - Mercyhurst Lakers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canisius won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Canisius has had a series of home games.

Recently, Mercyhurst has had a series of away games.

In this match, Canisius is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Canisius won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 3.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Canisius won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 4.5:2.5).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Canisius Golden Griffins: 0.44%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canisius Golden Griffins hockey
NCAA Hockey
21.02.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Robert Morris Colonials	7:0 ✺
20.02.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Robert Morris Colonials	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Holy Cross Crusaders	5:3 ✺
13.02.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Holy Cross Crusaders	3:4 ✺
07.02.26	Robert Morris Colonials - Canisius Golden Griffins	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL
- Mercyhurst Lakers hockey
NCAA Hockey
21.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Niagara Purple Eagles	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	5:4 ✺
13.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Mercyhurst Lakers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
24.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Canisius Golden Griffins	0:5
23.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Canisius Golden Griffins	3:4
22.10.24	Canisius Golden Griffins - Mercyhurst Lakers	6:3
02.03.24	Canisius Golden Griffins - Mercyhurst Lakers	5:2
11.01.24	Canisius Golden Griffins - Mercyhurst Lakers	4:1
02.12.23	Mercyhurst Lakers - Canisius Golden Griffins	5:1
01.12.23	Canisius Golden Griffins - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties

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