Match Info

NHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Lenovo Center (Raleigh, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Carolina Hurricanes		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.25	4.5	Watch
	1.68	4.3	4.7
	1.71	4.61	4.2
	1.65	4.31	4.41	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.9
	1.74	4.47	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	4.36 ↑ (4.27)	4.34 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Hurricanes
56.3%

Draw
21.8%

Montreal Canadiens
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

22.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

22.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	21.4%	35.7%

Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Carolina will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carolina: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carolina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Andersen F. (G)	75. Dobes J. (G)
5. Chatfield J.	53. Dobson N.
74. Slavin J. (A)	8. Matheson M. (A)
24. Jarvis S.	13. Caufield C.
20. Aho S.	14. Suzuki N. (C)
37. Svechnikov A.	15. Newhook A.
Line 2
26. Walker S.	48. Hutson L.
19. Miller K.	47. Struble J.
53. Blake J.	93. Demidov I.
22. Stankoven L.	71. Evans J.
71. Hall T.	20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
21. Nikishin A.	45. Carrier A.
4. Gostisbehere S.	21. Guhle K.
48. Martinook J. (A)	17. Anderson J. (A)
11. Staal J. (C)	24. Danault P.
27. Ehlers N.	76. Bolduc Z.
Line 4
50. Robinson E.	77. Dach K.
77. Jankowski M.	90. Veleno J.
28. Carrier W.	85. Texier A.
Substitutes
32. Bussi B. (G)	32. Fowler J. (G)
Coaches
. Brind'Amour R.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
02:28, Svechnikov A. (2 min),
09:17, 1 - 0, Hall T. (G), Stankoven L. (A), Blake J. (A2)
09:17, (2 min),
12:59, Svechnikov A. (2 min),
15:12, 2 - 0, Stankoven L. (G), Hall T. (A), Nikishin A. (A2)
16:52, 3 - 0, Robinson E. (G), Carrier W. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:46, Suzuki N. (2 min),
03:41, Nikishin A. (2 min),
07:19, 4 - 0, Blake J. (G), Hall T. (A), Stankoven L. (A2)
10:56, Hutson L. (2 min),
16:25, (2 min),
18:02, 5 - 0, Gostisbehere S. (G), Jarvis S. (A), Ehlers N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:12, Ehlers N. (2 min),
09:43, Gostisbehere S. (2 min),
10:50, 5 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Hutson L. (A),
16:19, 6 - 1, Jarvis S. (G), Aho S. (A), Svechnikov A. (A2)
17:23, (2 min),

Preview

Carolina Hurricanes leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 3.

Carolina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montreal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carolina is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Montreal: Laine P. (Abdominal strain)

We predict that Carolina will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:48. (average 3.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Carolina won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 3.8:2.5).

Outrights of NHL for now

Carolina Hurricanes: 9.6% Montreal Canadiens: 3.88%

Last Results with these Odds

Carolina Hurricanes - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.43%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Montreal Canadiens - the odds 4.03 are the expected chance of winning is 23.47%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Hurricanes
NHL
27.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes	0:4 ✺
25.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes	2:3 OT ✺
23.05.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT ✺
21.05.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	2:6 ✺
09.05.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Carolina Hurricanes	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
27.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes	0:4 ✺
25.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes	2:3 OT ✺
23.05.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT ✺
21.05.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	2:6 ✺
18.05.26	Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
27.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes	0:4
25.05.26	Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes	2:3 OT
23.05.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	3:2 OT
21.05.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	2:6
29.03.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	1:3
24.03.26	Montreal Canadiens - Carolina Hurricanes	5:2
01.01.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Montreal Canadiens	5:7

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