Match Info

EUROPE: Alps Hockey League - Round 18

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Drsališče v Mestnem parku (Celje)


	Celje		Gherdëina

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.35	3	Watch
	1.75	4.13	3.43
	1.77	4.3	3.55	Watch
	1.75	4.33	3.25
	1.8	4.4	3.25
	1.8	4.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.88)	4.31 ↑ (4.28)	3.25 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
51%

Draw
21%

Gherdëina
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

21.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

21.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Celje - Gherdëina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Gajsek J. (G)	96. Hofer P. (G)
17. Logar M.	91. Mustonen H.
43. Sillanpaa J.	7. Laitinen V.
33. Sotlar J.	23. Deluca S.
26. Secen N.	77. McGowan B.
16. Mintautiskis M.	44. Schiavone D.
Line 2
21. Bernard J.	37. Di Cicco J.
3. Sirovnik N.	55. Prosofsky K.
18. Jakupovic A.	22. Pitschieler S.
2. Povse J.	13. Gluck D.
13. Bukovec M.	17. Kasslatter H.
Line 3
11. Grahut N.	4. Senoner J.
68. Bohinc R.	41. Forte M.
22. Hebar T.	25. Cristellon Y.
36. Tsarkovskyi D.	16. Moroder T.
15. Sojer M.	86. Messner L.
Line 4
14. Zezelj G.	8. Windegger M.
71. Sodja Zalokar G.
Substitutes
81. Brandner J. (G)	71. Rindone M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:12, 1 - 0, Logar M. (G), Sotlar J. (A), Mintautiskis M. (A2)
19:58, 1 - 1, Cristellon Y. (G), Mustonen H. (A), Laitinen V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:16, 2 - 1, Mintautiskis M. (G), Logar M. (A), Tsarkovskyi D. (A2)
16:42, 2 - 2, Gluck D. (G), Pitschieler S. (A), Kasslatter H. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:15, 2 - 3, McGowan B. (G), Deluca S. (A), Mustonen H. (A2)
13:55, 2 - 4, Laitinen V. (G), Kasslatter H. (A), Forte M. (A2)
14:43, 3 - 4, Sojer M. (G), Tsarkovskyi D. (A), Panasenko B. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celje won 3.

Recent matches Celje is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gherdëina has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Celje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Celje will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Celje won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:33 (average 3:4.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Celje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:16 (average 3:5.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
21.11.24	Ritten-Renon - Celje	7:1 ✺
16.11.24	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Celje	6:5 penalties ✺
03.11.24	Celje - Unterland Cavaliers	3:2 ✺
01.11.24	Zell am See - Celje	5:6 OT ✺
27.10.24	Celje - Merano Junior	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWL
- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
21.11.24	Gherdëina - Kitzbühel	1:4 ✺
14.11.24	Vipiteno - Gherdëina	8:2 ✺
12.11.24	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Gherdëina	2:1 OT ✺
03.11.24	Cortina - Gherdëina	4:3 ✺
01.11.24	Gherdëina - Acroni Jesenice	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
12.10.24	Gherdëina - Celje	2:3 OT
22.02.24	Celje - Gherdëina	2:4
25.01.24	Gherdëina - Celje	3:6
05.01.24	Celje - Gherdëina	5:2
21.12.23	Gherdëina - Celje	3:1
05.01.14	Celje - Gherdëina	2:10
19.10.13	Gherdëina - Celje	9:2

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