Match Info

EUROPE: Alps Hockey League - Round 30

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Drsališče v Mestnem parku (Celje)


	Celje		Merano Junior

	1	X	2
	2.37	4	2.27	Watch
	2.29	4.28	2.45	Watch
	2.25	4	2.4
	2.31	4.15	2.36
	2.37	4	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 (2.32)	4.09 ↑ (4.08)	2.35 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Celje
39.2%

Draw
22.2%

Merano Junior
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

22.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

20.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Merano Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Celje - Merano Junior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
41. Heiskanen A. (G)	1. Rigoni R. (G)
17. Logar M.	5. Golser A.
21. Bernard J.	61. Madsen P.
33. Sotlar J.	26. Fuchs J.
2. Povse J.	9. Tomasini P.
15. Sojer M.	77. Brunner P.
Line 2
11. Grahut N.	64. Carissimi E.
98. Kuret B.	8. Ishida R.
16. Mintautiskis M.	47. Pietroniro C.
36. Tsarkovskyi D.	7. Pietroniro M.
13. Bukovec M.	13. Gellon D.
Line 3
3. Sirovnik N.	27. Rein N.
43. Sillanpaa J.	19. Beber P.
14. Zezelj G.	15. Mandruzzato G.
71. Sodja Zalokar G.	98. Castlunger M.
8. Zorman Z.	75. Trivellato D.
Substitutes
30. Gajsek J. (G)	33. Calvi M. (G)
	93. Kuppelwieser P.
	95. Pisetta T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:57, 0 - 1, Brunner P. (G),
19:57, 1 - 1, Tsarkovskyi D. (G), Mintautiskis M. (A), Sotlar J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
12:03, 2 - 1, Logar M. (G), Tsarkovskyi D. (A), Mintautiskis M. (A2)
19:11, 2 - 2, Ishida R. (G),
19:35, 2 - 3, Pietroniro M. (G), Pietroniro C. (A), Ishida R. (A2)
19:55, 2 - 4, Tomasini P. (G),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celje won 0.

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Merano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Celje won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:36 (average 3.1:4.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Celje won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:23 (average 3.8:4.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Merano Junior - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
02.01.25	Sisak - Celje	4:3 ✺
30.12.24	Celje - Acroni Jesenice	1:5 ✺
28.12.24	Kitzbühel - Celje	7:1 ✺
26.12.24	Celje - Unterland Cavaliers	2:4 ✺
22.12.24	Celje - Ritten-Renon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
03.01.25	Acroni Jesenice - Merano Junior	3:1 ✺
02.01.25	Merano Junior - Ritten-Renon	2:3 ✺
30.12.24	Merano Junior - Kitzbühel	2:6 ✺
28.12.24	Merano Junior - Cortina	2:3 OT ✺
26.12.24	Vipiteno - Merano Junior	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
07.12.24	Merano Junior - Celje	3:2
27.10.24	Celje - Merano Junior	3:5
03.02.24	Celje - Merano Junior	3:6
20.01.24	Merano Junior - Celje	5:4
04.11.23	Celje - Merano Junior	1:4
28.09.23	Merano Junior - Celje	5:0
23.02.14	Celje - Merano Junior	8:5

Upcoming Matches