Match Info

EUROPE: Alps Hockey League - Round 23

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Drsališče v Mestnem parku (Celje)


	Celje		Ritten-Renon

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.3	1.75	Watch
	3.54	4.21	1.7
	3.51	4.38	1.77	Watch
	3.3	4.33	1.75
	3.33	4.45	1.77
	3.2	4.3	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.18)	4.33 ↓ (4.48)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
27.1%

Draw
21%

Ritten-Renon
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

20.4%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

20.8%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ritten-Renon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ritten-Renon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Celje - Ritten Renon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Heiskanen A. (G)	1. Treibenreif H. (G)
17. Logar M.	26. Marzolini M.
43. Sillanpaa J.	68. Soracreppa S.
33. Sotlar J.	94. Szypula E.
26. Secen N.	7. Cuglietta D.
16. Mintautiskis M.	91. Fink K.
Line 2
3. Sirovnik N.	27. Hjorth E.
21. Bernard J.	11. Lang M.
2. Povse J.	22. Spinell M.
36. Tsarkovskyi D.	23. Kostner S.
15. Sojer M.	16. Lobis A.
Line 3
12. Groznik M.	88. Insam M.
11. Grahut N.	15. Hopponen E.
18. Jakupovic A.	92. Giacomuzzi A.
71. Sodja Zalokar G.	8. Ohler R.
13. Bukovec M.	37. Ohler M.
Line 4
	18. Uffelmann H.
	86. Graf T.
	3. Tauferer D.
Substitutes
19. Dolzan D.	30. Plattner F. (G)
30. Gajsek J. (G)
14. Zezelj G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:15, 0 - 1, Cuglietta D. (G), Szypula E. (A), Fink K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:28, 0 - 2, Szypula E. (G), Cuglietta D. (A), Hjorth E. (A2)
18:55, 0 - 3, Cuglietta D. (G), Szypula E. (A), Insam M. (A2)

Preview

Recent matches Celje is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ritten-Renon is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Celje could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ritten-Renon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Celje won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:15 (average 1:5).

Including matches at home between the teams Celje won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Last Results with these Odds

Ritten-Renon - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
21.12.24	Celje - Zell am See	3:4 penalties ✺
07.12.24	Merano Junior - Celje	3:2 ✺
05.12.24	Celje - Sisak	1:5 ✺
30.11.24	Celje - Cortina	4:3 ✺
Slovenian Hokejska Liga
28.11.24	Acroni Jesenice - Celje	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLLWW
- Sportverein Ritten-Renon
Alps Hockey League
21.12.24	Kitzbühel - Ritten-Renon	7:3 ✺
19.12.24	Cortina - Ritten-Renon	4:5 OT ✺
07.12.24	Acroni Jesenice - Ritten-Renon	5:3 ✺
05.12.24	Ritten-Renon - Zell am See	1:2 penalties ✺
03.12.24	Ritten-Renon - Vipiteno	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
21.11.24	Ritten-Renon - Celje	7:1
09.12.23	Ritten-Renon - Celje	4:2
21.09.23	Celje - Ritten-Renon	0:4

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