Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 25

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Patinoire de Cergy-Pontoise (Cergy)


	Cergy-Pontoise		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.73
	2.71	4.16	1.9
	3.64	4.67	1.72	Watch
	3.9	4.5	1.6
	3.39	4.05	1.8	Watch
	4.3	5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.98)	4.43 ↓ (4.52)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cergy-Pontoise
25.6%

Draw
20.7%

Bordeaux
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

20.5%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

20.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cergy-Pontoise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cergy-Pontoise than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Cergy Pontoise - Bordeaux Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Cergy-Pontoise (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cergy-Pontoise (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard O. (G)	1. Barrier E. (G)
63. Bratt F.	58. Beaudry J.
5. Coulombe P. (C)	72. Bruche B.
77. Delatour C.	20. Dusseau K. (A)
90. Girre L.	96. Farnier L.
9. Gustafsson O.	73. Giroux T.
49. Hostein A.	7. Guidoux T.
44. Hostein P.	13. Guillaume J. (A)
70. Jribi-Chauviere E.	46. Kindl J.
16. Le Lem P.	52. Lamarche M.
12. MacIntyre B.	21. Leborgne K.
7. Melin V. (A)	91. Morin P.
94. Muller J.	24. Pageau N.
61. Pardo T.	19. Pompei M.
6. Petit L.	27. Poudrier L. (C)
18. Philip M.	71. Puffer C.
91. Sokay B.	76. Rambelo A.
28. Stella J. (A)	14. Tomasino Q.
	23. Tournier U.
Substitutes
37. Ylonen S. (G)	32. Papillon Q. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
06:56, 1 - 0, Gustafsson O. (G), Delatour C. (A), Muller J. (A2)
15:33, 2 - 0, Sokay B. (G), Philip M. (A), Hostein P. (A2)
16:02, 3 - 0, MacIntyre B. (G), Bratt F. (A), Coulombe P. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
00:47, 3 - 1, Beaudry J. (G),
05:17, 4 - 1, Delatour C. (G), Gustafsson O. (A),
06:22, 5 - 1, Sokay B. (G), MacIntyre B. (A), Stella J. (A2)
09:27, 5 - 2, Tomasino Q. (G), Kindl J. (A), Morin P. (A2)
15:49, 5 - 3, Morin P. (G), Giroux T. (A), Beaudry J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:50, 6 - 3, Stella J. (G), Petit L. (A), Gustafsson O. (A2)
18:00, 7 - 3, Philip M. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cergy-Pontoise won 0.

Cergy-Pontoise is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bordeaux is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cergy-Pontoise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bordeaux has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bordeaux is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bordeaux will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cergy-Pontoise won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 69:70. (average 3.5:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cergy-Pontoise won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 3.5:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Bordeaux - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.19%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokers de Cergy-Pontoise
French Ligue Magnus
05.12.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Amiens	3:4 ✺
02.12.25	Amiens - Cergy-Pontoise	2:1 OT ✺
30.11.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Anglet	2:3 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Gap - Cergy-Pontoise	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Spartiates de Marseille	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Bordeaux GHC
French Hockey Cup
16.12.25	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Bordeaux	5:1 ✺
French Ligue Magnus
05.12.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Bordeaux	0:4 ✺
30.11.25	Rouen - Bordeaux	2:3 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Angers - Bordeaux	3:4 OT ✺
23.11.25	Bordeaux - Chamonix	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
31.10.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Bordeaux	1:2
13.10.25	Bordeaux - Cergy-Pontoise	4:1
14.02.25	Bordeaux - Cergy-Pontoise	5:4
03.01.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Bordeaux	2:5
05.11.24	Cergy-Pontoise - Bordeaux	2:5
01.10.24	Bordeaux - Cergy-Pontoise	6:4
28.01.24	Cergy-Pontoise - Bordeaux	1:3

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