The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cergy-Pontoise 26.6%
Draw 21.8%
Rouen 51.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.2%
17.5%
64.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
19.5%
60.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cergy-Pontoise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cergy-Pontoise's performance.
Rouen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rouen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cergy-Pontoise than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cergy-Pontoise that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rouen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cergy Pontoise - Rouen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Eliasson J. (G)
29. Mugnier L. (G)
54. Coffy V.
73. Baptiste N.
77. Delatour C.
10. Colomban R.
10. Gegeris E.
93. Cormier T.
88. Girre L.
7. Filatov D.
20. Jumel K.
14. Hansson P.
22. Karjalainen L.
2. Holway P.
55. Lindstrom K.
13. Lafrance S. (A)
17. Macklin L.
27. Lamperier L. (C)
23. Myllymaa K.
22. Lechevallier N.
15. Orgel R.
94. McClennon C.
82. Pardo T.
6. Nesa V.
6. Petit L. (A)
44. Paquette J.
29. Salve Y.
8. Quemion L.
9. Somoza E. (C)
18. Rech A.
91. Stromgren F.
91. Ritz N. (A)
21. Suire T. (A)
5. Roy P.
64. Volcan N.
23. Shalei N.
2. Wendling N.
21. Simonsen T.
Substitutes
1. Richard O. (G)
30. Carruth M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
08:22, 1 - 0, Gegeris E. (G), Macklin L. (A), Orgel R. (A2)
15:21, 2 - 0, Myllymaa K. (G), Suire T. (A), Orgel R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
05:31, 2 - 1, Simonsen T. (G), Cormier T. (A), Lafrance S. (A2)
10:05, 2 - 2, Cormier T. (G), Rech A. (A), McClennon C. (A2)
13:31, 2 - 3, McClennon C. (G), Hansson P. (A), Rech A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:01, 3 - 3, Volcan N. (G), Macklin L. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:16, 4 - 3, Volcan N. (G), Lindstrom K. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cergy-Pontoise won 0.
In recent outings, Cergy-Pontoise has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rouen shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Rouen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rouen has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Rouen for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cergy-Pontoise has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:93 (averaging 2.4:4.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cergy-Pontoise against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 22:41 goals (averaging 2.2:4.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Rouen
15
9
2
1
3
47:26
32
8
Cergy-Pontoise
14
5
2
1
6
42:42
20
Last Results with these Odds
Cergy-Pontoise - the odds 5.1 are the expected chance of winning is 18.17%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Rouen - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.35%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.