Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 38

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Patinoire de Cergy-Pontoise (Cergy)


	Cergy-Pontoise		Rouen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	5.25	1.44
	5.3	4.9	1.41
	4.42	4.34	1.43
	5.13	5.11	1.47	Watch
	4.73	5.2	1.44	Watch
	4.75	5.25	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.16)	5.01 ↑ (4.95)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cergy-Pontoise
18.7%

Draw
18.1%

Rouen
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

18.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

20.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cergy-Pontoise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Rouen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cergy-Pontoise than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Cergy Pontoise - Rouen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cergy-Pontoise (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Cergy-Pontoise (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cergy-Pontoise (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard O. (G)	30. Carruth M. (G)
63. Bratt F.	77. Avonde J.
5. Coulombe P. (C)	65. Bouramman G.
77. Delatour C.	10. Colomban R.
61. Frisell J.	16. Goncalves-Nivelais N.
90. Girre L.	72. Gresock C.
9. Gustafsson O.	2. Holway P. (A)
49. Hostein A.	13. Lafrance S.
70. Jribi-Chauviere E.	27. Lamperier L. (C)
16. Le Lem P.	9. Lavoie A.
95. Limtong S.	6. Nesa V.
27. MacIntyre B.	11. Perret T.
7. Melin V. (A)	94. Regush M.
15. Perrenoud P.	5. Roy P.
6. Petit L.	7. Schmitt C.
18. Philip M.	21. Simonsen T.
24. Shalei N.	36. Tessier J.
91. Sokay B.	91. Vigners R.
28. Stella J. (A)	8. Yeo D. (A)
Substitutes
60. Bazire P. (G)	29. Mugnier L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
02:23, 0 - 1, Simonsen T. (G), Schmitt C. (A),
10:12, 0 - 2, Vigners R. (G), Lafrance S. (A), Lavoie A. (A2)
12:33, 0 - 3, Simonsen T. (G), Lafrance S. (A), Lavoie A. (A2)
12:50, 1 - 3, Frisell J. (G), Perrenoud P. (A), Bratt F. (A2)
16:39, 1 - 4, Gresock C. (G), Lamperier L. (A), Perret T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:09, 1 - 5, Vigners R. (G), Lafrance S. (A), Lavoie A. (A2)
10:10, 2 - 5, Sokay B. (G), MacIntyre B. (A), Bratt F. (A2)

Preview

Rouen is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cergy-Pontoise won 0.

Cergy-Pontoise has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rouen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rouen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rouen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cergy-Pontoise won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 50:92. (average 2.5:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cergy-Pontoise won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 2.2:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Rouen	9	6	1	0	2	29:15	20
9	Cergy-Pontoise	9	2	1	1	5	25:30	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokers de Cergy-Pontoise
French Ligue Magnus
03.02.26	Gap - Cergy-Pontoise	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Anglet - Cergy-Pontoise	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Cergy-Pontoise - Angers	3:5 ✺
23.01.26	Bordeaux - Cergy-Pontoise	5:2 ✺
20.01.26	Cergy-Pontoise - Gap	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- Dragons de Rouen
French Ligue Magnus
05.02.26	Rouen - Angers	3:1 ✺
French Hockey Cup
01.02.26	Rouen - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	6:1 ✺
French Ligue Magnus
30.01.26	Rouen - Nice	3:2 OT ✺
27.01.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	0:5 ✺
25.01.26	Briançon - Rouen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
30.12.25	Rouen - Cergy-Pontoise	4:2
21.11.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Rouen	0:3
26.09.25	Rouen - Cergy-Pontoise	4:1
19.02.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Rouen	3:6
10.01.25	Rouen - Cergy-Pontoise	8:3
03.11.24	Rouen - Cergy-Pontoise	3:6
27.09.24	Cergy-Pontoise - Rouen	4:3

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