The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rouen 57%
Draw 20.6%
Spartiates de Marseille 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.3%
18.9%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
19.4%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rouen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rouen's form might have worsened.
Spartiates de Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rouen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartiates de Marseille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rouen - Spartiates de Marseille Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Carruth M. (G)
39. Kasik L. (G)
73. Baptiste N.
74. Bourgeois F.
10. Colomban R.
41. Cantagallo E.
93. Cormier T.
20. Chapuis M.
16. Goncalves-Nivelais N.
16. Colotti F. (C)
14. Hansson P.
17. Coulaud Y. (A)
2. Holway P.
23. Dair F.
13. Lafrance S. (A)
44. Dufek J.
27. Lamperier L. (C)
21. Gradin A.
81. Lasch R.
8. Ishida R.
22. Lechevallier N.
38. Ivanov S.
94. McClennon C.
12. Joubert P.
6. Nesa V.
13. Larinmaa J.
44. Paquette J.
95. Limtong S.
18. Rech A.
27. MacIntyre B.
91. Ritz N. (A)
53. Petersson B. (A)
5. Roy P.
86. Quattrone T.
23. Shalei N.
24. Spinozzi K.
21. Simonsen T.
29. Tavernier E.
Substitutes
29. Mugnier L. (G)
33. Gourdin F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:29, 1 - 0, Simonsen T. (G),
05:32, 2 - 0, McClennon C. (G), Rech A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:39, 3 - 0, Lafrance S. (G), Baptiste N. (A), Roy P. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 4.
Rouen has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Marseille is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Rouen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rouen has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this matchup, Rouen is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Rouen has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:39 (averaging 4.2:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rouen against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 25:17 goals (averaging 4.2:2.8 per game).
Watch
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Carruth M. (G) 
Kasik L. (G) 
Baptiste N. 
Bourgeois F. 
Hansson P. 
Ishida R. 
Ivanov S. 
Larinmaa J. 
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