Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 26

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Patinoire de l'Île Lacroix (Rouen)


	Rouen		Spartiates de Marseille

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.6	4.25
	1.42	5	5
	1.52	4.17	3.99
	1.46	5.17	5.27	Watch
	1.4	5	5.5
	1.44	4.9	5.03	Watch
	1.41	4.75	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)	4.8 ↑ (4.62)	4.9 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen
62.5%

Draw
19%

Spartiates de Marseille
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

20.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

20.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Rouen - Spartiates de Marseille Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Carruth M. (G)	39. Kasik L. (G)
77. Avonde J.	74. Bourgeois F.
65. Bouramman G.	15. Bouvet M.
62. Chakiachvili F. (A)	41. Cantagallo E.
10. Colomban R.	16. Colotti F. (C)
72. Gresock C.	17. Coulaud Y. (A)
2. Holway P.	23. Dair F.
13. Lafrance S.	44. Dufek J.
27. Lamperier L. (C)	12. Joubert P.
6. Nesa V.	19. Lavoie A.
11. Perret T.	90. Lindgren A.
14. Phelan J.	97. Nsonsa-Kitala N.
18. Rech A.	53. Petersson B. (A)
94. Regush M.	36. Ruusu E.
5. Roy P.	92. Stromberg K.
7. Schmitt C.	29. Tavernier E.
21. Simonsen T.	9. Thompson B.
36. Tessier J.	71. Welsh T.
8. Yeo D. (A)	10. Wong T.
Substitutes
29. Mugnier L. (G)	33. Barbaret M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
01:09, 0 - 1, Tavernier E. (G), Colotti F. (A), Dufek J. (A2)
13:22, 0 - 2, Wong T. (G), Stromberg K. (A), Lavoie A. (A2)
14:00, 1 - 2, Simonsen T. (G), Lafrance S. (A), Bouramman G. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:26, 2 - 2, Bouramman G. (G), Phelan J. (A),
12:01, 3 - 2, Rech A. (G), Tessier J. (A), Bouramman G. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
09:25, 4 - 2, Simonsen T. (G), Rech A. (A), Schmitt C. (A2)
17:40, 5 - 2, Rech A. (G), Regush M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rouen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rouen is the team to beat.

We predict that Rouen will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:32. (average 4.3:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rouen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:15. (average 4:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Rouen - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.53%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dragons de Rouen
French Hockey Cup
17.12.25	Angers - Rouen	0:1 ✺
French Ligue Magnus
05.12.25	Rouen - Anglet	6:2 ✺
02.12.25	Gap - Rouen	5:4 ✺
30.11.25	Rouen - Bordeaux	2:3 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW
- Spartiates de Marseille
French Ligue Magnus
19.12.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Anglet	4:2 ✺
French Hockey Cup
16.12.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix	4:6 ✺
French Ligue Magnus
07.12.25	Angers - Spartiates de Marseille	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Bordeaux	0:4 ✺
02.12.25	Anglet - Spartiates de Marseille	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
28.11.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	0:6
19.09.25	Rouen - Spartiates de Marseille	4:1
28.01.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	8:4
22.12.24	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	2:5
24.11.24	Rouen - Spartiates de Marseille	2:1
18.10.24	Rouen - Spartiates de Marseille	7:8
20.02.24	Rouen - Spartiates de Marseille	4:3

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